Tag: Dollar

  • Protection fee that shored up the dollar – By Owei Lakemfa

    By Owei Lakemfa

    IT was like a mafia arrangement. A client pays and is sure of protection. In this case, it was between the United States, and the US, which prides itself as the freest, most democratic, most gender-friendly and most open country in the world founded on fundamental human rights.

    Its partner is Saudi Arabia, a monarchy with an anathema for democracy with no pretensions to human or women’s rights and a history of physically eliminating political opponents.

    Both reached an agreement that changed the world economy from purely selfish motives: the US as the policeman of the world would provide muscle and protection for Saudi Arabia no matter what atrocities it commits, while the other would provide financial backing to strengthen its protector’s economy against all others.

    On June 8, 1974, the US represented by Secretary of State, Henry Kissinger, and Saudi Second Deputy Premier, Prince Fand Ibn Abdel Aziz, signed the six-page Milestone Pact in Blair House across the street from the White House.

    The agreement established joint commissions on economic cooperation and Saudi Arabia’s military needs. It provides for a group “to consider plans for Saudi Arabia’s economic development, paying special attention to the use of flared gas for expanding the production of fertilizer”.

    A second group was “to consider projects aimed at the further development of Saudi technical manpower skills, the expansion of educational and technical institutions, the transfer of technological expertise, the establishment of a comprehensive Saudi Arabian science and technology programme keyed to the national goals of the kingdom, and an expansion of sister university relations”. A third group was on development projects, including solar energy and a fourth was on agriculture, especially desert agriculture.

    In return, Saudi Arabia, which had the world’s largest proven reserves of oil, was to price and sell its oil only in dollars and was also obliged to invest its surplus oil proceeds in US debt securities. Also, it was to pump so much oil into the market as to force down prices as well as pressure members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC, to also denominate their oil sales only in dollars.

    The pricing of oil only in dollars became known as petrodollars and gave the US the leverage to be the banker of the world in the sense of being the dominant currency for international pricing, payments and reserves. It also gave the US the financial muscle to impose sanctions on countries it thinks are stepping out of tune.

    On the other hand, it gave Saudi Arabia immunity to do as it pleases as the US would always protect it. So Saudi Arabia denies its citizens fundamental human rights, including those to basic representation and press freedom.

    This is why the Saudi establishment has been so confident to physically eliminate perceived political opponents like sending a hit squad that on Tuesday, October 2, 2018, butchered journalist, Jamal Khashoggi, in Turkey. Until today, Khashoggi’s body parts have not been recovered. Back in 1979, Nassir al-Sa’id, founder of the Arabian Peninsula People’s Union, APPU, decided to go into exile in Lebanon and has not been seen ever since. Saudi Prince Sultan bin Turki, while in exile, was abducted in Geneva and surfaced in a Saudi prison.

    The Saudis also run an opaque legal system in which you can be found guilty and punished without being charged to court. When in 2017 the Saudi establishment felt 208 rich princes, ministers and businessmen were corrupt, it did not charge them. Rather, it rounded them up, detained them in the five-star Ritz Carlton Hotel and forced them to transfer 70 per cent of their wealth to the state before they could be freed.

    Internationally, Saudi Arabia has been on a rampage. When people in Bahrain protested against the dictatorship in their country, Saudi Arabia invaded twice, carrying out massacres in the streets. The ongoing civil war in Yemen has bombed thousands of civilians, including clearly identified schools, school buses, hospitals, large markets, weddings, and even funerals.

    In 2017, it imposed a 13-point demand on Qatar to within 10 days, wind up the Al-Jazeera international news network and curb ties with Iran and Turkey. For this, it imposed an illegal air embargo on that country which the US-supported.

    Saudi Arabia was also the main funder of the terrorist group, the Islamic State, ISIS, before it lost control of that group. The primary aim was to use it to ignite the Syrian civil war and overthrow the Assad administration. Saudi Arabia violates international labour laws by simply detaining and deporting migrant labourers from countries like India, the Philippines, Pakistan and Ethiopia without paying them their earned wages.

    While protecting Saudi Arabia, the US has been quite vicious against countries that want to reverse the dominance of the dollar. When in October 2000, Sadam Hussein decided to move away from using dollars to price Iraqi oil, he signed his death warrant. The US with British backing asked President Hussein to surrender weapons of mass destruction which they knew Iraq did not possess. Based on that excuse, the country was invaded in 2003 and Hussein murdered.

    In 2009, President Mouammar Ghadaffi conceived and financed a plan to unify African countries with a single gold currency, and campaigned that oil-producing countries in Africa demand payment in gold rather than dollars; he, like Hussein, signed his death warrant. A rebellion was engineered; the US-led the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, NATO, to bomb the Libyan armed forces out of existence; and on October 20, 2011, got Ghadaffi was shot, point-blank on the streets of Libya.

    It seemed nothing could challenge or change the international petrodollar system. That was until March 2022 when the US and its allies decided to impose sanctions on Russia in the wake of the war in Ukraine. Russia then demanded Europeans and other countries purchasing its oil and gas must do so in roubles.

    Also, with effect from Thursday, April 7, 2022, Russian coal and oil paid for in yuan, started being shipped to China. Again, India is in talks to buy Russian oil at discounted prices and pay in Yuan which is a stable currency and is the fourth most-traded currency after the dollar, Euro and pound which are all enmeshed in the sanctions war with Russia.

    There are also negotiations about a rupee-ruble trade mechanism in which Indian exporters can pay for their exports to Russia in rupees, not dollars. Perhaps one of the greatest surprises is Saudi Arabia engaging China in negotiations to price some of its oil sales in Yuan. Since Russia is not Iraq that can easily be invaded and China is not Libya that can be bombed to submission, the real challenge to the 48-year petrodollar regime has come.

  • #GandujeGate: How Daily Nigerian publisher, Jaafar fled to UK

    #GandujeGate: How Daily Nigerian publisher, Jaafar fled to UK

    Media practitioner, Yushau Shuaib has revealed how Daily Nigerian publisher, Jaafar Jaafar fled Nigeria after Kano State Governor, Abdullahi Ganduje was caught on camera receiving bribe in dollars.

    The viral video was ‘cloned’, the state government claimed.

    Shuaib in a Facebook post at the weekend after visiting Jaafar who is in exile in London, United Kingdom recounted how the journalist was forced to leave Nigeria.

    He disclosed that after suffering a series of political harassments and security threats, Jaafar was forced to leave the country.

    The former National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) spokesman recalled seeing off Jaafar to the airport as he flew out about a year ago.

    “A few days before Jaafar Jaafar left, I visited him in Kano where he showed me CCTV footage of strange movements around his residence.

    “Less than 24 hours after, similar movements were noticed in his Abuja residence. Later he received security invitations over frivolous allegations.

    “I am very happy to visit his family in their safe abode one year after today. We discussed power failure, petrol scarcity, ASUU strike etc,” he said.

  • Nigerian shares steady as dollar sinks – Analyst

    Nigerian shares steady as dollar sinks – Analyst

    Nigerian shares have hovered around 2021 highs, gaining over 4.4 per cent year-to-date, in spite of the December U.S. inflation report reinforcing Federal Reserve rate hike expectations.

    Senior Research Analyst at FXTM, Mr Lukman Otunuga, made this known in analysis in Lagos State.

    Otunuga said that the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) jumped seven per cent year-on-year, matching the median forecast from economists surveyed by Bloomberg and up from 6.8 per cent in November 2021.

    He said core inflation, which strips out volatile items such as food and energy, rose 5.5 per cent, well above the 4.9 per cent reported in the previous month.

    The analyst also explained that markets initially offered a calm reaction to the hot report with Wall Street closing modestly higher on Jan. 12.

    “The most notable price action was seen in foreign exchange markets, with king dollar breaking down as treasury yields pulled back, while gold bugs were injected with renewed confidence.

    “The December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report has presented further evidence of persistent price pressures, especially with inflation registering its biggest annual gain since 1982.

    “For Nigeria, the key question remains whether the Central Bank of Nigeria joins the tightening bandwagon or focuses on the pandemic economic recovery this quarter.

    “The Dollar Index (DXY) slams into 95.00. The dollar tumbled to a two-month low against a basket of currencies Jan. 12 after the inflation figures for December matched expectations.

    “Investors may have seen this data as bearish for the world’s reserve currency as they were possibly expecting the figures to be even hotter. Nevertheless, the headline surged seven per cent in December.

    “Its biggest year-on-year increase since June 1982 and seven of the last nine releases have now come in above consensus.

    “Traders are currently pricing in an 84 per cent probability of at least one rate hike by mid-March.

    “Looking at the technical picture, the Dollar Index remains under pressure on the daily charts. A breakdown below 95.00 could open the doors towards 94.56 and 94.00, respectively,” he said.

    Otunuga added that gold after notching its sharpest weekly loss since November had returned with a vengeance this week.

    According to him, the precious metal continues to draw strength from a weaker dollar and slight pullback in Treasury yields with prices trading around 1,826 dollars.

    “Inflation risks could also be supporting upside gains for gold which has often been considered a hedge against rising prices,” Otunuga said.

  • Naira falls at official market

    Naira falls at official market

    Naira fell marginally against the U.S. dollar at the official market on Thursday, after the currency appreciated for three consecutive sessions on a stretch at the market segment.

    The currency traded with the foreign currency at N415.07 to a dollar, which implies a N1.00 or 0.24 per cent depreciation from the N414.07 rate it exchanged on Wednesday, FMDQ securities exchange data showed.

    Forex turnover at the spot market plummeted by 69.20 per cent with $103.16 million recorded on Thursday as against the $334.97million posted at the close of business in the previous session on Wednesday.

    The local unit staged an intraday high of N405.00 and a low of N424.25 before closing at N415.07 to a dollar on Thursday.

    The currency last closed at the N415.00 and above mark on October 13 when it closed at N415.10 to a dollar.

    At the black market in Abuja, dealers exchanged the naira at the rate of N570.00 and sold at N578.00 to a dollar on Thursday.

    While at Uyo, dealers said they exchanged the currency at N565.00 and sold at N568.00 to a dollar on Thursday

  • Naira’s free fall: We won’t give Dollars to BDC operators; they’re promoters of terrorism – CBN

    Naira’s free fall: We won’t give Dollars to BDC operators; they’re promoters of terrorism – CBN

    Amidst the dwindling fortune of Nigeria’s Naira in the parrallel market, the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Mr Godwin Emefiele has said that some people are collecting dollars from Bureau De Change operators for the purpose of importing weapons into the country in order to harm Nigerians.

    He said this on Friday while speaking at the end of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting held at the apex bank’s headquarters in Abuja.

    He said that the CBN decided to stop the sale of FOREX to Bureau De Change operators because they have become a source of foreign exchange for criminals to perform their nefarious activities.

    The CBN Governor said, “It truly beats my imagination that Nigerians continued with this type of practice (selling dollars to BDC) that tended to promote illegal activities who are involved in graft and corrupt practices.

    “We won’t support the corrupt tendencies of those who illegally buy dollars from our forex market, carry them in aircraft, buy arms and ammunition and bring them back into the country and conduct crimes. Whether it is Boko Haram, banditry and other nefarious activities.”

    “Why will CBN give people our forex to go and buy arms? And that is what people want us to continue to do. We cannot do that. What we are saying is that if you have any legitimate need for forex, take it to the bank and they will sell you FOREX.”

    Meanwhile, Emefiele disclosed that the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria has retained the Monetary Policy Rate at 11.5 per cent.

    It also retained the Cash Reserve Ratio and Liquidity Ratio at 27.5 per cent and 30 per cent respectively.

    Announcing the committee’s decision, Emefiele said, “The MPC made the decision to hold all parameters constant. The committee thought by unanimous vote to retain the Monetary Policy Rate at 11.5 per cent.

  • More woes as Nigeria’s Naira nosedives to N570/$1

    More woes as Nigeria’s Naira nosedives to N570/$1

    THE gap between the official and unofficial market exchange rates widened to N157.94 at the close of business on Thursday, as one dollar exchanged for N570.00 due to scarcity of the greenback.

    In the same vein, one British pound exchanged for N770, while one Euro went for N655. Specifically, Naira fell significantly against the U.S dollar at the parallel market on Thursday, falling further from N562 per $1 it exchanged on Wednesday, according to information obtained from AbokiFX.

    This implies an N8.00 or 0.90 devaluation from the N557.00 it traded on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the naira remained stable against the greenback at the official market on Wednesday and Thursday, as foreign exchange turnover remained unchanged from what was posted in the previous session on Tuesday.

    Data recorded on the FMDQ securities exchange window where forex is officially traded, showed that the naira closed at N412.06 per $1 at the official window on the two days. Also, on Wednesday, the forex turnover remained unchanged with $175.10 million recorded at the spot market, the same rate posted in the previous session on Tuesday.

    The domestic currency hit an intraday high of N400.00 and a low of N414.90 at the trading session before closing at N412.06 on Wednesday. Meanwhile, findings show that some individuals and corporate entities are saving their fortunes in dollars as a preferred store of value.

    Some of those who spoke to the Nigerian Tribune said it was safer, convenient and profitable to hoard dollars because of the dwindling fortunes of the naira, especially in the parallel forex market.

    Analysts believed that the rush for the dollar and other factors have further exacerbated the pressure on the naira as checks at the bureau de change (BDC) market in Lagos revealed that the greenback is in high demand.

    The United States dollar was Wednesday purchased by walk-in customers between N565 to N567 to $1.

    The naira has been on a steady decline since the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) stopped the sale of forex to BDCs due to what the apex bank called regulatory infractions by some bureau de change operators.

    The CBN policy has resulted in the scarcity of forex.

    This has forced up the exchange rate and has made it difficult for local manufacturers who depend on imported raw material to source forex with the effect that inflation has been on the rise as manufacturers have to resort to black market.

    The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), in its Consumer Price Index for August released on Wednesday, reported that, “The consumer price index, which measures inflation increased by 17.01 per cent (year-on-year) in August 2021. This is 0.37 per cent points lower than the rate recorded in July 2021 (17.38) per cent.”

    But in its reaction to the report the Financial Derivatives Company (FDC) said though inflation was down a bit in August, it was “still astronomically high”.

    According to the company, “The continued moderation in inflation can be largely attributed to base year effects. This is because the rate of annual inflation in all baskets declined whilst monthly sub-indices increased. The increase in monthly inflation suggests that naira weakness in the forex basket is being transmitted into domestic prices. Most manufacturers claim they are only able to source about 10 per cent of their forex demand from official sources.

    With the autonomous rate at record lows of N562/$, the blended rate has depreciated by 13.5 per cent to N547/$ from N482/$ in June. This means that headline inflation might be approaching a point of inflection, which will translate into higher inflation in September/October.”

  • No redemption! Naira plunges to N562/$ in parallel market amid drop in inflation

    No redemption! Naira plunges to N562/$ in parallel market amid drop in inflation

    Nigeria’s naira further plinged against the dollar in the parallel market, closing at N562/$ on Wednesday against N557/$ at the market opening.

    On the Importers/Exporters window, the country’s currency closed at N410.54.

    The British pound was stable against the naira, closing at N760/£ – the same rate at the start of the market day.

    However, naira weakened against the euro, closing at N648/$ against N645/$ on Wednesday morning.

    Naira has weakened against the dollar by over 40 per cent in the parallel market in the last one year as COVID-19, oil price vagaries, and low dollar supply continue to hurt the economy.

    For an import-dependent economy like Nigeria, the relationship between exchange rate and inflation is direct.

    The reason is that as the local currency weakens, prices of imported goods become more expensive, experts say.

    One of the Bureau De Change operators recently banned by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Aminu Salau said that hoarding of dollars had become commonplace in the parallel market.

    “There is an increased rate of hoarding in the market. Many people are holding their dollars with the hope that prices will rise further in the future,” he said.

    Chairman of Manufacturers Association of Nigeria Export Group Ede Dafinone said in the face of dwindling dollar inflows from oil, Nigeria should increase non-oil export to raise foreign exchange inflows.

    However, amid the weakening local currency, inflation fell in August 2021, dropping from 17.38 per cent in July to 17.01 in August, representing a marginal 0.37 per cent decline.

  • JUST IN: Naira nosedives further against dollar, pounds

    JUST IN: Naira nosedives further against dollar, pounds

    The Naira depreciated further in the parallel market on Tuesday hitting N557 to the US dollar.

    While the value was stable on the official window at N409.51-N410.50, it continues to be blown apart in the black market and the BDC.

    Quotes by Abokifx.com, showed that the currency fell by 1.3 percent to hit an unprecedented rate of N557.

    The BDC selling rate was N555.

    There is thus a wide gulf of N145 between official and black market rate.

    The naira also dipped 1.3 percent against the British pound.

    One pound now goes for N760 and one Euro N645.

  • Naira’s free-fall continues, plunges to N550 per Dollar

    Naira’s free-fall continues, plunges to N550 per Dollar

    The Nigerian naira has further dipped in the parallel market as it now sells for a whopping N550 against the dollar.

    Naira fell significantly against the U.S. dollar at both the unofficial and official markets on Monday, taking what has become the trend in the last week to a new low.

    According to abokiFX.com, a website that collates black market rates in Lagos, the local unit closed at N550.00 per $1 at the black market window on Monday. This implies a N5.00 or 0.92 per cent devaluation from the N545.00 it exchanged on Friday last week.

    Naira, which opened at N545.00 at the parallel market segment, hit N549.00 at noon, before closing at N550.00 on Monday.

    The currency has maintained a steady decline on the black market segment for six consecutive sessions on a stretch.

    The local currency has continued to depreciate, despite efforts by the governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emefiele, to salvage what’s left of its value.

    On July 27, Mr Emefiele halted sales of forex to Bureau De Change (BDCs) operators across the country.

    This has caused a heavy scarcity of the dollar which is one of the highly demanded foreign currencies.

    Nigeria, which consumes more products than it manufactures, has continued to suffer heavy inflation over the unending rise of the dollar.

    The depreciation in the value of the naira translates to a heavy hike in the prices of imported products such as milk, sugar, rice, electronics, cars, and many other consumables.

  • BREAKING: Nigeria’s Naira hits new all-time low of 543 against dollar

    BREAKING: Nigeria’s Naira hits new all-time low of 543 against dollar

    The Nigeria’s Naira has traded its worst in years in the unofficial market after the Central Bank of Nigeria said it is not worried about naira valuation.

    Findings by TheNeWsGuru(TNG) revealed that Naira in the unofficial market controlled by the different Bureau de Change operators traded N540 per dollar.

    It had traded N532 to the dollar before the apex bank comment.

    This is N30 devaluation against the dollar between September 9, 2021 and August 10 when it traded N510.

    The naira also slumped against the British pounds trading N740 which is down from N732 traded on Monday and N703 traded on August 10.

    This is coming after the Director of Monetary Policy, Hassan Mahmud, said on Tuesday that the bank was not worried about the devaluation of the naira.

    “We are not really bothered much about valuation. What we are worried about is the supply side and the confidence in the system,” Mahmud had said during a virtual investor conference.

    Dollar bills have become so scarce in the market due to the recent policy of the CBN to channel forex from the unofficial market to banks.

    Since March 2020, CBN has devalued the naira thrice on dollar scarcity which was worsened by Covid-19 induced oil price crash.

    CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele, in June devalued the official rate of the naira to N410 from N379 per US dollar.