Tag: Vladimir Putin

  • Russia-Ukraine War: ICC orders Putin’s arrest over alleged war crimes

    Russia-Ukraine War: ICC orders Putin’s arrest over alleged war crimes

    The International Criminal Court (ICC) has issued an arrest warrant for Russia’s President, Vladimir Putin, and the Commissioner for Children’s Rights for the Russian Federation, Ms Maria Alekseyevna Lvova-Belova, over alleged war crimes in Ukraine.

    “Pre-Trial Chamber II of the International Criminal Court (“ICC” or “the Court”) issued warrants of arrest for two individuals in the context of the situation in Ukraine: Mr Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin and Ms Maria Alekseyevna Lvova-Belova,” the ICC said in a statement on Friday.

    The court accused the duo of being responsible for the war crime of unlawful deportation of children and unlawful transfer of children from occupied areas of Ukraine to the Russian Federation.

    The crimes, the court said, were allegedly committed in Ukrainian-occupied territory at least from 24 February 2022.

    Ms Maria Alekseyevna Lvova-Belova
    Ms Maria Alekseyevna Lvova-Belova

    It noted that it has reasonable grounds to believe that Mr Putin is responsible for having committed the acts directly or jointly with others and/or through others.

    “There are reasonable grounds to believe that Ms Lvova-Belova bears individual criminal responsibility for the aforementioned crimes, for having committed the acts directly, jointly with others and/or through others,” the court said about Mr Putin’s Commissioner for Children’s Rights.

    The allegations were considered by Pre-Trial Chamber II based on the prosecution’s applications of 22 February 2023 and the arrest warrant issued.

    “The Chamber considered that the warrants are secret in order to protect victims and witnesses and also to safeguard the investigation,” the statement said.

    However, noting that the allegations are ongoing and that public awareness of the warrants may contribute to the prevention of further commission of crimes, the Chamber considered that it is in the interests of justice to publicly disclose the existence of the warrants, the name of the suspects, the crimes for which the warrants are issued, and the modes of liability as established by the Chamber.

    Russia is expected to ignore the ICC directive as the country was never a full member of the international court.

    Russia-Ukraine War: ICC orders Putin's arrest over alleged war crimes

    Although Russia signed the Rome statute, which governs the ICC, in 2000, it never ratified the agreement to become a member. In 2016, Mr Putin withdrew Russia from the process of joining the ICC.

    Russia on 24 February 2022 launched a “military operation” against Ukraine with claims of de-nazifying the latter.

    Since the war broke out, not less than 8,000 people, mostly Ukrainians, have been killed and millions displaced.

  • Russia declares end of mobilisation for Ukraine war

    Russia declares end of mobilisation for Ukraine war

    Russia says it has finished calling up reservists to fight in Ukraine, having drafted hundreds of thousands of people in a month, with more than a quarter of them already sent to the battlefield.

    The announcement appears to bring to a close a divisive mobilisation drive – Russia’s first since World War II – which had seen tens of thousands of men flee the country and gave rise to the first sustained public protests against the war.

    “The task set by you of [mobilising] 300,000 people has been completed. No further measures are planned,” Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu told President Vladimir Putin at a televised meeting in the Kremlin. He said 82,000 had already been sent to the combat zone and the rest were training.

    Putin thanked reservists “for their dedication to duty, for their patriotism, for their firm determination to defend our country, to defend Russia, which means their home, their family, our citizens, our people”.

    Both men acknowledged “problems” in the early days of the call-up. Shoigu said initial issues in supplying newly mobilised troops had since been resolved. Putin said mistakes had probably been inevitable as Russia had not carried out a mobilisation for such a long time, but that lessons had been learned.

    Zelensky doubts call-up ending

    Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky said he doubted Moscow was finished calling soldiers up.

    Russian forces “are so poorly prepared and equipped, so brutally used by their command, that it allows us to presume that very soon Russia may need a new wave of people to send to the war”, Zelensky said in his nightly televised address.

    The mobilisation which Putin ordered last month after his forces suffered major setbacks on the battlefield was the first time most Russians faced a direct personal impact from the “special military operation” launched in February.

    More than 2000 people were arrested in anti-mobilisation protests, notably in parts of the country populated by ethnic minorities who complained they were being disproportionately targeted to be sent to the front.

    Putin and other officials have acknowledged some mistakes, including calling up some men who were too old or unfit, but said problems would be resolved. Tens of thousands of Russian men are believed to have fled the country to avoid being forced to fight, many to neighbouring former Soviet republics.

    Call-up may ease manpower problems

    Putin ordered the call-up in September at the same time as he endorsed plans to annex Ukrainian lands. The West describes those moves as an escalation of the conflict in response to setbacks on the battlefield that showed Russia was on course to lose the war.

    Western military analysts have said the call-up could help ease Moscow’s shortages of manpower along the 1000km front line, but the draft’s military value will depend on whether Moscow can properly equip and train the reservists.

    Meanwhile, Kyiv has continued to make gains. Serhiy Gaidai, the Ukrainian governor of Luhansk province, said on Friday advancing Ukrainian troops had practically gained full control of an important road connecting Svatove and Kreminna, major towns seen as the next big battle front in the east. Reuters could not independently verify the claim.

    In the south, Ukrainian forces have advanced this month towards Kherson, the biggest city Russia has captured intact since the invasion in February, at the mouth of the wide Dnipro River that bisects Ukraine. The surrounding region controls land approaches to Crimea, which Moscow has held since 2014.

    The Ukrainian advance appears to have slowed in recent days, however, with Kyiv blaming poor weather and tough terrain.

    The enemy troops dug into muddy trench lines north of the city exchanged rocket, mortar and artillery fire.

    Ukrainian soldiers manning a 120mm mortar hidden in bushes loosed high explosive rounds in thundering bursts of flame at Russian positions around a grain silo less than a kilometre away.

    Hennadyi, 51, said the Russians were using the silo for cover and observation. It poked like a finger above a vast expanse of fields, a column of smoke floating behind it.

    Hennadyi said Ukrainian gunners were targeting Russian armoured vehicles and ammunition behind the silo and avoiding hitting the structure itself because of its importance to the agricultural region. But they did not have enough shells, he said.

    “For every one shell that we send, they send back five,” he said amid the shellfire duels. “They shoot at us most of the time.”

    Russia has ordered civilians out of a pocket of land it occupies on the west bank of the Dnipro River, which includes Kherson city. Kyiv said the evacuation of the area was cover for a forcible deportation of civilians by Russian forces, which Moscow denies.

    Sergey Aksyonov, the leader of Crimea, said work had been completed on moving residents seeking to flee Kherson to regions of Russia ahead of Ukraine’s expected counter-offensive.

    Ukraine’s general staff said hospital and business equipment was being removed from the area, while extra Russian forces were being deployed in empty homes.

    Putin’s escalation in recent weeks has also included a new campaign to rain down missiles and Iranian-made suicide drones on Ukrainian civil infrastructure targets, particularly electricity substations.

    Kyiv said the strikes intended to freeze Ukrainians in winter were an intentional war crime. Moscow said it was permitted as retaliation for Ukrainian attacks including a blast on a bridge to Crimea.

  • Wanted: A “President Kennedy” To Avert The Looming Nuclear Armageddon – By Dennis Onakinor

    Wanted: A “President Kennedy” To Avert The Looming Nuclear Armageddon – By Dennis Onakinor

    Summary

    Dennis Onakinor takes a retrospective look at President John F. Kennedy’s diplomatic resolution of the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 as he laments the ongoing carnage in Ukraine, which could escalate to a nuclear war amidst President Putin’s unceasing threats to resort to nuclear weapons in the event of an existential threat being posed to Russia by Ukraine’s long-range conventional weapons supplied by its US-led NATO partners. He urges the warring parties to emulate President Kennedy’s example, in order to prevent hostilities from escalating to a global nuclear war.

    Full Article

    Powerlessness tends to frustrate, and absolute powerlessness frustrates absolutely. Unfortunately, a situation of absolute powerlessness is apparently enveloping the helpless masses of the world, as President Vladimir Putin threatens a global nuclear “catastrophe” should America and its NATO allies continue to militarily support Ukraine in its bid to repel his invasion forces and reverse Russia’s brazen annexation of its four territorial regions – a threat the US’ President Joe Biden says is capable of ending with “Armageddon.”

    While people of goodwill across the globe continue to hope and pray for reason to prevail on the part of the nuclear sabre-rattling Russian leader, the honorable pacifism of America’s President John Fitzgerald Kennedy, who selflessly prevented the occurrence of a global nuclear showdown between the US and the Soviet Union in October 1962, comes to mind. In course of that Cuban Missile Crisis, which saw the world tethering on the brink of a nuclear disaster, President Kennedy’s inimitable statesmanship effectively saved mankind from self-annihilation.

    On that occasion, trouble began on October 16, 1962, when US Intelligence sources briefed President Kennedy that the Soviet Union was deploying intermediate-range nuclear missiles in Cuba, a Communist island state located barely 93 miles (150 km) from the US coast of Florida. Alarmed by the discovery, Kennedy confronted his Soviet counterpart, Chairman Nikita Khrushchev, who refused to own up, prompting the US president to set up a crisis committee known as “The Executive Committee of the National Security Council” or “Ex-Comm” to deal with the situation.

    As documented by Robert Kennedy (President Kennedy’s sibling and then-US’ Attorney General) in his 1969 posthumous publication titled “Thirteen Days: A Memoir of The Cuban Missile Crisis,” the nuclear crisis saw the fate of mankind hanging in the balance. Guided by the singular objective of eliminating the nuclear missiles from Cuba without a military confrontation with the Soviet Union, President Kennedy rejected the Ex-Comm’s recommendation of a military solution to the crisis – massive air strikes on the missile bases. Instead, he opted for a comprehensive naval blockade of Cuba, designed to pressurize Chairman Khrushchev into yielding to his unequivocal demand that the nuclear missiles be dismantled and evacuated from the island state.

    As the story goes, President Kennedy had shrewdly calculated that Khrushchev did not also want a military confrontation with the US over the nuclear missiles, but he realized that such a confrontation could occur for reasons of pride or miscalculation on either side. Therefore, he insisted that the Soviet leader must not “lose face” or incur “humiliation” by removing the nuclear missiles from Cuba. According to him: “We don’t want to push him (Khrushchev) to a precipitous action … I don’t want to put him in a corner from which he cannot escape.” In this wise, he instructed the Ex-Comm members and other government officials to refrain from making utterances that tended towards claims of a US’ victory.

    President Kennedy’s resolve to avert a military confrontation at all costs was severely tested, to the extent that even when a US’ U-2 reconnaissance flight crashed over Cuban airspace on October 27, 1962, resulting in the death of the pilot – Major Rudolf Anderson Jr., he refused to order reprisals, maintaining that the crash could have been “accidental.” To say the least, every of his move was a calculated risk, and every risk a calculated move. Little wonder the missile crisis ended on a mutually beneficial note on October 28, 1962, with the Soviet Union removing the nuclear missiles from Cuba under UN supervision, while the US equally agreed to dismantle its own nuclear bases in Turkey, which the Soviets had complained about.

    Paramount in President Kennedy’s resolve for a diplomatic resolution to the Cuban Missile Crisis was his consideration for the massive human lives, especially that of children, which would have been lost in the event of a nuclear war. As detailed by Robert Kennedy in his aforesaid publication, “The thought that disturbed him the most, and that made the prospect of war much more fearful than it would otherwise have been, was the specter of the death of the children of this country and all the world – the young people who had no role, who had no say, who knew nothing even of the confrontation, but whose lives would be snuffed out like everyone else’s … It was this that troubled him most, that gave him such pain.”

    Unfortunately, such pacifist thoughts have failed to find their way into the hearts of the belligerents of the ongoing war in Ukraine, which has so far witnessed the death of thousands of innocent children and women amongst other casualties. With mass-graves and senseless slaughter of both civilians and combatants becoming regular features of the war, there arises an overwhelming need for the belligerents and their supporters to emulate President Kennedy’s concern for human lives and bring hostilities to an end as soon as possible.

    Some critics maintain that President Kennedy’s pacifism in course of the Cuban Missile Crisis was informed by his April 1961 “Bay of Pigs” debacle, which saw the humiliation of US-backed Cuban exiles, who had sought to topple Fidel Castro’s communist regime in a military invasion. Be that as it may, it should be noted that he had inadvertently inherited the invasion plan from his predecessor, President Dwight Eisenhower, although he might have actually learnt some vital lessons from its disastrous outcome.

    According to Robert Kennedy, during the thirteen-day Cuban Missile Crisis, President Kennedy’s thoughts went beyond the fear of the outbreak of a nuclear war with the Soviet Union to the undesirability of war as a destructive social phenomenon. He complained that “The politicians and officials sit at home pontificating about great principles and issues, make the decisions, and dine with their wives and families, while the brave and young die.” Specifically, he lamented the loss of Major Rudolf Anderson in the U-2 reconnaissance flight crash.

    A decorated 2nd World War Navy Reserve hero, President Kennedy decried his military advisers’ propensity for armed solution to every issue that arose during the missile crisis, without taking into consideration the implications, while naively assuming that war was in US’ interest. To him, their inability to look beyond the “limited military field” is a pointer to the importance of civilian direction and control of the military, and the importance of raising probing questions to military recommendations.

    From a historical perspective, President Kennedy’s pacifism echoes that of the US Civil War Hero, General Tecumseh Sherman – the originator of the dictum “War is hell.” At the end of the civil war in May 1865, General Sherman reportedly wrote in a personal letter: “I confess, without shame, I am sick and tired of fighting – its glory is all moonshine; even success the most-brilliant is over dead and mangled bodies, with the anguish and lamentations of distant families … it is only those who have never heard a shot, never heard the shriek and groans of the wounded and lacerated, that cry aloud for more blood, more vengeance, more desolation”

    Also, in 1879, General Sherman admonished the graduating students of the Michigan Military Academy, thus: “It’s entirely natural that there should beat in the breast of every one of you a hope and desire that someday you can use the skill you have acquired here. Suppress it! You don’t know the horrible aspects of war. I’ve been through two wars, and I know. I’ve seen cities and homes in ashes. I’ve seen thousands of men lying on the ground, their dead faces looking up at the skies. I tell you, war is hell!”

    Perhaps, had the warring parties in Ukraine been acquainted with the pacifism of President Kennedy and General Sherman, the ongoing carnage might have been averted. Certainly, President Putin had a genuine case in his demand for “Security Guarantees” against NATO’s eastward expansionism vis-à-vis Russia. But to have opted for military action in place of a negotiated solution to the crisis smacks of international geopolitical gangsterism. But, with benefit of hindsight, it is obvious that there wasn’t sufficient will on the part of Ukraine and its US-led NATO allies to avert the ongoing war, even though Putin’s belligerency may have suggested that he had decided, irrevocably, to resolve the lingering Russo-Ukraine crisis by military might.

    Nevertheless, as the war rages and casualties mount, there is an overriding need for the global community to re-dedicate itself to finding a lasting solution, even though Russia has compounded future mediation efforts by its September 2022 annexation of the four Ukrainian regions of Donesk, Lugansk, Kherson, and Zaporozhye. Even so, there is still some cause for optimism in a mediated solution following a series of prisoner exchanges, and the July 2022 Grain Shipment Agreement.

    Therefore, it is high time global statesmen with sincerity of purpose stepped up to mediate a peaceful end to the war. Such statesmen must consciously refrain from playing to the gallery in their mediation efforts. They must also ignore the provocative utterances of politicians, especially those of the extreme right wing of the US’ Republican party, who have unscrupulously assumed the role of Russian propagandists as they spew pro-Russian misinformation, which would have earned them long jail terms had they been Russian citizens engaging in such self-abnegation within their Motherland.

    Also, the mediating statesmen must be cognizant of the negative influence of the global military-industrial complex, whose agents have been unscrupulously extolling the destructive qualities of their new technological weapons, such as the “Javelin” missile, the “High Mobility Artillery Rocket System” (HIMARS), the “Kinzhal” hypersonic missile, etc. Once again, they are demonstrating their ubiquitous role in the protraction of global conflicts through arms sales.

    More than anything else, the mediators must ensure that the war ends on a mutually satisfactory note as far as all the parties to the conflict are concerned. There must be no attempt to impose crushing or humiliating peace terms on any party, especially Russia, which is generally viewed as the aggressor in the war. Particularly, President Putin’s unceasing nuclear threats should be viewed from this perspective.

    As President Kennedy said in a speech at the graduation ceremony of the American University in Washington DC, on June 10, 1963, “Above all, while defending our own vital interests, nuclear powers must avert those confrontations which bring an adversary to the choice of either a humiliating retreat or a nuclear war.” To adopt that kind of course in the nuclear age would be evidence only of the bankruptcy of our policy, or of a collective death-wish for the world.”

    Dennis Onakinor, a global affairs analyst, has written about a half-dozen articles on the Russo-Ukraine Crisis. He can be reached via e-mail at dennisonakinor@yahoo.com.

  • Putin declares martial law in four Russian-occupied regions of Ukraine

    Putin declares martial law in four Russian-occupied regions of Ukraine

    Russian President, Vladimir Putin,  on Wednesday introduced martial law in four Russian-occupied regions of Ukraine that Moscow claimed last month as its own territory.

    In televised remarks to members of his Security Council, Putin boosted the powers of Russia’s regional governors and ordered the creation of a special coordinating council under Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin to step up the faltering war effort.

    He said the “entire system of state administration”, not only the specialized security agencies, must be geared to supporting what Russia calls its “special military operation”.

    The package of moves, nearly eight months into the war, marked the latest escalation by Putin to counter a series of major defeats at the hands of Ukrainian forces since the start of September. A Kyiv official said it would change nothing.

    The published Kremlin decree ordered an “economic mobilization” in eight regions adjoining Ukraine, including Crimea, which Russia invaded and annexed in 2014.

    It placed them in a special regime one step below martial law and allowed for the restriction of people’s movements.

    Putin declares martial law in four Russian-occupied regions of Ukraine
    Russian President, Vladimir Putin

    Putin conferred additional powers on the leaders of all Russia’s 80-plus regions to protect critical facilities, maintain public order and increase production in support of the war effort.

    But it was far from clear how fast or how effectively the new measures might bolster Russia’s military position on the ground, and what effect they would have on public opinion.

    The Russian-installed acting governor of occupied Kherson, Vladimir Saldo, confirmed that he would hand power to the military.

    However, TheNewsGuru.com (TNG) reports that several Russian regions including Moscow that were named in parts of the decree said nothing would change for them.

    Putin’s order came on the day that Russian-installed officials in Kherson told civilians to leave some areas as soon as possible in anticipation of an imminent Ukrainian attack.

    Ukrainian presidential adviser, Mykhailo Podolyak, said on Twitter: “This does not change anything for Ukraine: we continue the liberation and de-occupation of our territories.”

     

  • Ukraine crisis: Russia’s president, Putin warns of global catastrophe

    Ukraine crisis: Russia’s president, Putin warns of global catastrophe

    Russia’s President Vladimir Putin said on Friday that any direct clash of Nato troops with Russia would lead to a “global catastrophe”.

    “I hope that those who are saying this are smart enough not to take such steps,” Putin said at a news conference in the Kazakh capital Astana following a summit of ex-Soviet nations.

    The Russian president also said he saw “no need” for talks with his US counterpart Joe Biden, as tensions with Washington soar over a litany of issues including Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

    “We should ask him if he’s ready to hold such talks with me or not. I don’t see the need, to be honest,” Putin said, when asked about a potential meeting with Biden on the sidelines of a G20 summit in November.

    He added that his participation in the summit hosted by Indonesia is not yet decided. “The question of my trip there has not been finalised. Russia will certainly take part. As for the format, we’re still thinking about it,” Putin told reporters. Speaking earlier this week, Biden said he had “no intention” of meeting with Putin but did not rule out potential talks.

    ‘No need now for massive strikes’

    Putin said he does not plan more “massive” strikes against Ukraine “for now” and that the Kremlin’s aim was not to “destroy” the pro-Western country.

    “There is no need now for massive strikes. There are other tasks. For now.

    And then it will be clear,” Putin said. “We do not set ourselves the task of destroying Ukraine.”

    He spoke days after Russia unleashed a wave of missile strikes across Ukraine, including on the capital Kyiv.

    Putin, who sent troops to Ukraine on February 24, is facing increasing isolation and criticism even from allies.

    But he said Russia is “doing everything right” in Ukraine — despite a failed attempt to topple the government and weeks of territorial losses.

    “What is happening today is not pleasant. But all the same (if Russia hadn’t attacked in February) we would have been in the same situation, only the conditions would have been worse for us,” he said. “So we’re doing everything right.”

  • Ukraine reclaims more territory in region captured by Russia

    Ukraine reclaims more territory in region captured by Russia

    Ukraine said its forces have retaken more settlements in Kherson, one of four partially Russian-occupied regions that President Vladimir Putin formally incorporated into Russia in Europe’s biggest annexation since World War II.

    With Russian forces retreating from front lines in the south and east, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said in a late Wednesday address that Novovoskresenske, Novohryhorivka and Petropavlivka to the northeast of Kherson city had been “liberated”.

    At the United Nations, Russia is lobbying for a secret ballot instead of a public vote next week when the 193-member UN General Assembly considers whether to condemn its annexation of Donetsk and Luhansk in the east and Kherson and Zaporizhzhia in the south after staging referendums there.

    Putin signed a law on Wednesday to incorporate the regions into Russia.

    Ukraine says it will never accept an illegal seizure of its territory by force. Kyiv and the West said the referendums were rigged votes held at gunpoint.

    The new law would incorporate about 18 per cent of Ukraine’s territory into Russia.

    Putin says he wants to ensure Russia’s security and protect Russian-speakers in Ukraine. Kyiv accuses Moscow of a land grab.

    Russia’s move to annex the regions raises the possibility of an escalation in the war, as Putin and other officials have said they could use nuclear weapons to protect Russian territory including the annexed provinces.

    Ukraine has said it will not be cowed by any nuclear threats and Zelenskiy said in his address he and his senior military officials met to discuss recovering all lands occupied by Russia.

    Switching from Ukrainian to Russian, Zelenskiy addressed pro-Moscow forces, telling them they had already lost.

    “Ukrainians know what they are fighting for. And more and more citizens of Russia are realising that they must die simply because one person does not want to end the war,” he said in a reference to Putin.

    Moscow’s map of Ukraine appears to show shrinking areas it controls.

    A map of “new regions” published by state news agency RIA included the full territory of the Ukrainian provinces, but some parts were labelled as being under Ukrainian military control.

    Ukraine’s military in the south said its forces had killed at least 58 Russian fighters, destroyed nine tanks, 17 armoured vehicles and four howitzers.

    Overnight, seven Russian missiles hit the city of Zaporizhzhia, damaging or destroying several buildings and causing fires and injuries, regional governor Oleksandr Starukh said.

    “Rescuers are already pulling people out from under the rubble,” he added.

  • Vladimir Putin: A nuclear-armed incarnate of Adolf Hitler – By Dennis Onakinor

    Vladimir Putin: A nuclear-armed incarnate of Adolf Hitler – By Dennis Onakinor

    Summary

    Dennis Onakinor draws parallels between Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and Nazi German leader – Adolf Hitler, observing that while Hitler committed suicide amidst humiliating defeat in the 2nd World War, Putin is more likely to resort to the use of nuclear weapons if faced with defeat in the ongoing war in Ukraine. He highlights the dangers of nuclear weapons, and warns against their use under any circumstance, noting that a nuclear exchange between Russia and the US can only end in a nuclear Armageddon. 

    Full Article

    As the Nazi German leader, who sought to impose on the world his totalitarian ideology rooted in Aryan racial superiority dogma, the story of the meteoric rise and ignominious fall of Adolf Hitler between 1933 – 1945 is well-known. What is not well-known is whether Hitler, who went by the title of “Der Further” (The Leader), would have chosen the path of suicide when faced with humiliating defeat, had nuclear weapons been part of his war machine that effortlessly conquered eight European countries between 1939 – 1941, before the beleaguered Soviet Union and Britain rallied to turn the tables, with the help of America.

    With benefit of hindsight, historians posit that if Nazi Germany, instead of America, had won the race for the development of nuclear weapons during the 2nd World War, Hitler and the Axis powers of Italy and Japan might not have succumbed to defeat. For, being the unscrupulous tyrant that he was, Hitler would certainly have subjected the opposing Allied powers to a nuclear blackmail, threatening to vaporize them in a hail of nuclear bombs, just as President Harry Truman threatened to unleash “a rain of ruin from the air” upon a recalcitrant Japan that was still reeling from the devastations of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. 

    Apparently, President Vladimir Putin of Russia has studied the life and times of Hitler, with whom he shares the leadership traits of ultra-nationalism, irredentism, and militarism. And, he must have arrived at the conclusion that the only reason the Allied powers dared to call Hitler’s bluff was the realization that his overstretched and exhausted military machine had no backup strategy. Hence, they launched unrelenting counterattacks that saw the once-invincible German war machine beat humiliating retreats until they laid siege to its doorstep, prompting Hitler to take the easy way out via a double-suicide involving long-time lover, Eva Braun, on April 30, 1945.  

    Unlike Hitler, whose awesome military might was tactically vanquished by the Allied forces as the 2nd World War progressed, Putin has an ace up his sleeve in the ongoing war in Ukraine: nuclear deterrence. To boot, he rams this fact down the throat of his Ukrainian and NATO adversaries at every opportunity, reminding them that Russia would not hesitate to deploy its nuclear weapons if they pose an existential threat to the “Motherland.” 

    On September 21, 2022, while announcing the referendums that were designed to legitimize Russian annexation of occupied Ukrainian regions of Donesk, Lugansk, Kherson and Zaporozhye, Putin once again hinted at Russia’s readiness to use nuclear weapons in the ongoing war in Ukraine: “Washington, London and Brussels are openly encouraging Kiev to move the hostilities to our territory. They openly say that Russia must be defeated on the battlefield by any means … I would like to remind those who make such statements regarding Russia that our country has different types of weapons as well, and some of them are more modern than the weapons NATO countries have. In the event of a threat to the territorial integrity of our country, and to defend Russia and our people, we will certainly make use of all weapon systems available to us. This is not a bluff.”

    Nine days later, on September 30, 2022, in course of announcing the annexation of the aforesaid Ukrainian regions, based on the stage-managed referendums, Putin again directed a similar nuclear threat to his Ukrainian and NATO adversaries: “I want the Kiev authorities and their true handlers in the West to hear me now, and I want everyone to remember this: the people living in Lugansk and Donetsk, in Kherson and Zaporozhye have become our citizens, forever … The decision has been made, and Russia will not betray it … We will defend our land with all the forces and resources we have, and we will do everything we can to ensure the safety of our people.”

    For an untainted understanding of Putin’s nuclear threats, cognizance must be taken of the fact that the ongoing war in Ukraine is akin to a fight between two opponents, with one having his two hands tied behind his back. For, Russian forces are at liberty to attack Ukrainian targets with all types of lethal weapons stationed within and outside the war theatre of Ukraine, while Ukraine’s forces cannot attack Russian targets outside that theatre. This lopsided war situation is reinforced by the cautionary refusal of the US and its NATO allies to arm Ukraine with sophisticated long-range weapons capable of targeting Russian territory – a situation informed by their desire to avoid a direct military confrontation with Russia, thus averting a major conflagration in Europe.

    Relatedly, Putin’s annexation of the aforesaid Ukrainian territories chimes with his calculation that Ukrainian forces would not dare to attack Russian targets within the annexed regions for fear of his retaliation with nuclear strikes, as he had been threatening of late. In this gamble, he might have miscalculated, for if Ukraine cowers away from reclaiming its annexed regions, he would certainly be emboldened to seize more territories, just as his 2014 annexation of the Crimea Region apparently served as an impetus for his latest course of action. 

    Historical lessons, such as Europe’s failed effort towards pacifying Hitler following his annexation of the Sudetenland region of Czechoslovakia in 1938, have shown that a swaggering militarist leader like Putin, cannot be appeased in his quest to conquer and annex the territories of a weak neighbouring country such as Ukraine. Like Hitler, Putin must be made to taste the bitter pills of defeat in order to realize his folly, although unlike Hitler, he is nuclear-armed and might irrationally resort to the weapons if humiliating defeat steers him in the face.  

    Retrospectively, Putin’s nuclear sabre-rattling did not begin with his ongoing senseless war in Ukraine. Back in March 2018, he gloated over Russia’s development of an advanced Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICMB) known as “Sarmat” that could attack targets across the globe from both the North and South poles. On that same occasion, he revealed that Russia had exclusive possession of nuclear-capable hypersonic missiles, one of which could travel at 20 times the speed of sound or Mach-20. Brimming with confidence, he issued a scarcely-disguised warning to the US and its NATO allies: “I hope that everything that was said today would make any potential aggressor think twice … Now we have to be aware of this reality and be sure that everything I have said today is not a bluff ‒ and it is not a bluff, believe me.” 

    And, to show that he was not “bluffing,” Putin re-echoed Russia’s nuclear policy as contained in its military doctrine: “Any use of nuclear weapons against Russia or its allies, weapons of short, medium or any range at all, will be considered as a nuclear attack on this country. Retaliation will be immediate, with all the attendant consequences.” Suffice to say that such nuclear threats have since become emblematic of his military posturing on the world’s stage.

    In what could be likened to an ominous sign in his escalating nuclear threats, Putin alluded to America’s use of nuclear weapons against Japan during the 2nd World War, in course of his aforesaid September 30, 2022 national address: “The United States is the only country in the world that has used nuclear weapons twice, destroying the cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in Japan. And they created a precedent.” 

    A nagging question arises from this statement. Since America “created a precedent” in the use of nuclear weapons, would Russia be compelled to follow that “precedent” in its ongoing war in Ukraine? 

    The answer to this question lies solely with Putin, since it is difficult to predict what course of action the former KGB spymaster, versed in the art of simulation and dissimulation, would take at any point in time. Although, it is predictable that his use of any nuclear weapon in Ukraine would certainly attract a counter-response from the US and its NATO allies. And, since Russia does not enjoy a “Nuclear First Strike Capability,” a tit-for-tat nuclear exchange is bound to ensue, with the end-result being an apocalyptic nuclear conflagration.   

    Atomic or hydrogen or neutron, a nuclear bomb is the ultimate weapon of mass destruction (WMD). Apart from the immediate mass-casualty, destruction, and misery arising from its heat and blast effects upon detonation, its radioactive fallouts can affect generations yet unborn in the form of cancerous ailments. Therefore, its use should never be entertained under any circumstance, contrary to Putin’s contemplation. 

    It would be recalled that the two atomic bombs, which devasted Hiroshima and Nagasaki – killing more than 200,000 inhabitants, had energy yields of 15-kilotons and 22-kilotons respectively. Those two bombs pale into insignificance when compared to the energy yields of the nuclear warheads currently maintained by some nuclear-armed countries like the US, Russia, Britain, and France, many of which are in the range of 50-megatons (3,300 times more powerful than the 15-kiloton bomb dropped on Hiroshima). With Russia and the US maintaining estimates of 5977 and 5428 warheads in their respective stockpiles, a nuclear confrontation between both global geopolitical rivals can only end in a nuclear Armageddon. 

    Nevertheless, as the war in Ukraine grinds on, with Putin continually threatening to unleash Russia’s nuclear capabilities, the international community is learning an important lesson: that irrespective of the danger posed to humanity by nuclear weapons, they are vital in deterring aggression. Among others, North Korea’s totalitarian regime exemplifies the deterrence role of nuclear weapons in contemporary world geopolitics. 

    Perhaps, Russia would not have dared to invade Ukraine had the latter not given up the nuclear weapons it inherited from the Soviet Union under the “1994 Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances.” Alas, Ukraine is now learning the vital lesson of nuclear deterrence the hard way. And, in this wise, nuclear weapon-hungry states, like Iran, must be watching the ongoing events closely, in order to see how Putin plays his ace.

    • Dennis Onakinor, a global affairs analyst, writes from Lagos – Nigeria.  He can be reached via e-mail at dennisonakinor@yahoo.com

     

  • Putin declares Ukrainian provinces as part of Russia

    Putin declares Ukrainian provinces as part of Russia

    Russian President Vladimir Putin has declared four Ukrainian provinces to be part of the Russian Federation as he signed a document to formally annex the regions occupied by Moscow’s troops.

    The Russian president urged Kiev to recognize the annexation of the regions of Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson, conducted after referendums a week ago that Moscow said showed an overwhelming majority in favour of leaving Ukraine and joining Russia.

    Kiev and Western powers denounced the five-day vote, which ended on Tuesday, saying the results were a foregone conclusion that would never be recognised internationally. There were reports of residents being coerced into voting, sometimes at gunpoint.

    As expected, Russia vetoed a resolution in the UN Security Council condemning the Russian annexation as a violation of international law.

    Ten countries voted in favour of the US-Albania-sponsored document in New York on Friday which also called on Russia to immediately withdraw from Ukraine.

    Four countries in the most powerful UN body with a total of 15 members abstained. These were China, India, Brazil, and Gabon.

    Russia’s UN ambassador Vassily Nebenzia criticised the vote on the draft resolution as a provocation and an openly hostile act.

    Putin urged Ukraine to come to the negotiating table, in a bid to end the fighting that began when Russia invaded Ukraine in February.

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, however, ruled out negotiations with Putin. He said Ukraine is ready for dialogue with Russia, but only under a different Russian president. He also said his country is applying for an “accelerated” accession to NATO.

    “De facto, we have already started our path to NATO. Today, Ukraine is applying to make it de jure (legal),” Zelensky said in a video published on Telegram.

    NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said a membership “remains open” to the country and that the alliance supports “Ukraine’s rights to choose its own path to decide what kind of security arrangements it wants to be part of.”

    However, he stressed the unanimity required among members for new applicants to join the alliance.

    As the terms of NATO’s founding treaty considers an attack on one NATO ally an attack against all members – it is viewed as unlikely that the Western military alliance would allow a country at war like Ukraine to join the alliance.

    After Putin’s speech, the European Union has vowed to never recognize the “illegal annexation” of the Ukrainian provinces.

    “Russia is putting global security at risk,” read a joint statement from the 27 EU member states, calling on states and international organisations to reject the annexation.

    “These decisions are null and void and cannot produce any legal effect whatsoever. Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhzhya, Donetsk and Luhansk are Ukraine,” the statement read.

    Top representatives of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) have condemned Moscow’s moves to annex Ukrainian territories as “illegal” and “unacceptable.”

    The organization, of which Russia is a member, once again called on Moscow “to withdraw all its forces from across Ukraine.”

    Stoltenberg, meanwhile, said this is “the largest attempted annexation of European territory by force since World War II” and that the alliance and its allies “will not, recognise any of this territory as part of Russia.”
    Stoltenberg stressed that the move “represents the most serious escalation since the start of the war.”

    The U.S. announced it is imposing further sanctions on Russia, with measures targeting among others, further Russian government representatives, their family members and members of the military.

    Networks for the procurement of defence equipment, including international suppliers, are also affected.

    “The United States condemns Russia’s fraudulent attempt today to annex sovereign Ukrainian territory,” U.S. President Joe Biden said on Friday.

    “The United States will always honor Ukraine’s internationally recognised borders.”

    The areas annexed by Moscow have been occupied since soon after the start of Russian invasion.

    Putin said last week that Moscow would see Ukrainian attacks on the annexed regions as attacks on Russia itself and would use all means to defend them – a thinly veiled reference to nuclear weapons.

    Together with Crimea, nearly 20 per cent of Ukraine’s territory is under Russian control, although Kiev has reclaimed some of the occupied territory in recent weeks.

    But the Kremlin said on Friday that speculation it would resort to nuclear weapons are only designed to spread fear.

    “People who talk about nuclear escalation are acting very irresponsibly,” said Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov.

    Despite the annexation, Kiev’s forces are making gains, with some of the recent fighting focused on Lyman, a small, strategically important town in Donetsk. But the fighting also meant more fatalities.

    At least 23 people were dead after a rocket attack on a convoy of civilian vehicles near the Ukrainian city of Zaporizhzhya, with another 28 injured, according to the regional governor.

    Zelensky lashed out at the attack, calling it Russian retribution for the unbroken Ukrainian resistance to its failed invasion.

    “Only absolute terrorists operate this way, the kind of people for whom there is no place in the civilised world,” he wrote in the wake of the attack.

    “Peaceful Ukrainians are being wiped out cynically because he long ago lost all of his humanity.”

    However, the head of the Russian occupation authorities, Vladimir Rogov, wrote on Telegram that Ukrainian troops had fired the shot.

    He also put the death toll at 23, but said there were 34 injured.

  • Putin: Loneliness of the Tyrant – By Chidi Amuta

    Putin: Loneliness of the Tyrant – By Chidi Amuta

    Tyrants and mad men suffer a common ailment: they are condemned to a feeling of loneliness and a routine of endless wandering in search of what they alone understand. No other world leader at the present time better illustrates this ancient folk wisdom than Russia’s Vladimir Putin.

    Mr. Putin would ordinarily qualify as a very brilliant strategist, a quality that catapulted him from the shadows of a spook into the prime light as the leader of post Soviet Russia. The former KGB officer with a fairly distinguished career record is credited with a capacity for multi- tasking and also time his strategic moves in a manner that never fails to disarm and overwhelm his adversaries. But his reputed strengths have of late begun to fail him as he bungles from one international escapade to another.

    Mr. Putin has had difficulty understanding that his invasion of Ukraine has gone badly. As it turns out, his plans and projections were disastrous. His troops have been vastly decimated as they has lost territory they had previously occupied in the early stages of a war that was planned to last less than a few days. Months have rolled by. Russian casualties, including high ranking generals, have mounted. His troops are on the run as territory previously overrun have fallen under a Ukrainian counter offensive. Vast amounts of equipment and gear have been abandoned by fleeing Russian troops. Fields of human remains that loudly testify to serious war crimes have been uncovered. Domestic opinion against the war and indeed the Putin regime has begun to mount and has recently graduated into street protests.are
    Of course, Ukraine’s newfound battlefield successes and military mojo are the result of a combination of patriotic fervor and the sheer quantum of Western military support. The Ukrainian arsenal is bristling with a vast armada of sophisticated high precision weapons generously supplied by both the United States and other NATO member nations in the Western alliance. No one knows for how long more an isolated, over sanctioned and economically strangulated Russia can sustain its aggression on Ukraine.

    The prospect of imminent defeat on the battlefield is an unthinkable nightmare for any dictator let alone one with the elephantine ego of a Vladimir Putin. There lies the greater strategic danger of the logic of the Ukrainian war. Predictably, Mr. Putin has played the dictators’ game. He has threatened the world with a nuclear holocaust if the war in Ukraine continues to go against his wish.

    He carefully chose the eve of the 77th United Nations General Assembly to broadcast this grave threat. To indicate that he may not be bluffing, he disclosed the obvious fact that Russia is armed to the teeth with all classes of nuclear weapons both strategic and tactical. In addition, he unveiled a hasty plan to call up a reservist force of an additional 300,000 men to join his army of mostly conscripts in the Ukrainian operation. It did not matter to him that that additional force will need to be mobilized, trained, equipped and motivated to go into a war that many realize has entered an attrition stage. Worde still, Putin revealed a micro wave plan to hold referenda in the Donbast and Luhansk regions of Ukraine which it had previously occupied and colonized.

    Besides his setbacks in the battlefield, Putin’s earlier attempt to dress up the Ukraine invasion in revisionist propaganda has since collapsed as it failed to gain traction among both Russians and the rest of the world. The Zelensky administration is far from being the Zionist collection of neo –Nazis that Putin painted them as. Instead the former comedian has turned out to be an epitome of patriotic heroism and unusual courage. Similarly, the revisionist claim that Ukraine’s sovereignty is fictitious has fallen flat on its face. But Mr. Putin needs a fake referendum in the occupied regions that favours his invasion in order to sustain the claim that his occupation of these areas is part of his obligation to defend the sovereignty of “mother Russia”.

    While Putin has proceeded in earnest with his hasty mobilization and microwave referenda barely three days after they were announced, the Russian populace is reacting differently. Russians are fleeing the homeland across the borders into more friendly republics like Krigykistan, Tajikistan and others to avoid Putin’s draft. Widespread protests and demonstrations have commenced in Moscow against the draft and the entire Ukraine war. No one knows how far the opposition forces will go and what it will cost Mr. Putin in terms of his hold on power.

    In response to Putin’s bluff and veiled nuclear threat, world leaders assembled in New York have heard Mr. Putin and displayed a mixture of brave reassurance and understandable trepidation. The brave face stems from the tacit assurance that NATO has the capacity to deter Putin’s nuclear threat or at worst retaliate in a manner that may leave Russia badly injured and worsted. The fear is a response to the familiar threat which insane dictators have always posed to the security of the world. It is indeed a credible and present fear that Mr. Putin, pushed to the wall as he increasingly is, is likely to plunge the world into a nuclear blitzkrieg that no one planned for. For one thing, in spite of the elaborate protocols required by the Russian system to initiate a nuclear strike, there is the fear that Putin is an outlaw at heart and is unlikely to obey the protocols which a more democratic system would have made imperative.

    On the face of it, Putin’s belligerent rhetoric addressed to the United Nations is not unprecedented. Since its formation, the United Nations has always been confronted with the urgency of managing the dissenting voices of non -conformist leaders in a world that has remained divided either along ideological or temperamental lines. There is in fact an unwritten code that what has sustained the United Nations as a multinational platform is the freshness of dissenting voices and uncommon leadership types that it has had to deal with over the years. Leaders with divergent ideas, viewpoints and orientations have come to New York in previous years to hawk ideas an perspectives that do not necessarily conform to universally accepted norms.

    In decades past, it was the presence of such diverse leadership types as Fidel Castro, Muammar Gadaffi, Yassir Arafat, Hugo Chavez and Thomas Sankara that alleviated the boring conformist rhetoric of the United Nations General Assembly. These dissenting voices and non -conformist personae have disappeared or become rare. The end of the Cold War and the triumph of a
    Western liberal international order have joined forces to reduce or even eliminate the alleviating presence of leaders who see the world differently.

    This is one sense in which Vladimir Putin becomes something of a refreshing even if toxic diversion from the humdrum proposition of a Western liberal overlordship. But in positing an alternative to a Western liberal democratic order, Mr. Putin is presenting the world with the untenable alternative of autocracy or, at best illiberal democracy. Unfortunately, with the overwhelming economic and ideological presence of China, Putin is driven to the fringes as a powerful mad man rather than a credible alternative to the Western liberal order. Even if Putin’s Russia intended it, it lacks the economic power and ideological coherence to convince anyone else in the world that it can pose a credible counter force to the liberal democratic order that has gripped most of the world. At best, the Russian voice of dissent deserves to be heard but it needs to re-jig its message to make sense to the rest of humanity. For now, Russia’s voice is being heard in all the wrong ways. Threatening the world with nuclear holocaust is not the best way to posit an alternative worldview to a peaceful liberal international order.

    Rewind to 20th February, 2022 when the latest Russia-Ukraine war began.
    From the onset of the Ukrainian invasion, Mr. Putin has never managed to conceal the fact that he may have become a bit unhinged of late. At the onset of the war, Putin’s Foreign Minister, Mr. Sergei Lavrov warned that a Third World War between Russia and NATO is possible and that it would be a nuclear war. On the same day, Russian artillery fire set off a blaze at a Ukrainian nuclear facility, the largest in Europe. Luckily, before dawn, Ukrainian fire fighters had put out the fire. Still on the same day, French President Emmanuel Macron after a telephone conversation with Putin cautioned that: ”the worst is yet to come.” Later in the day, it was a visibly jittery and troubled Putin that addressed Russians and the world to affirm that the invasion of Ukraine was going well according to his plan. Instructively, the broadcast was interrupted twice as Putin stood up in front of global television to adjust his ill-fitting jacket, all the time shying from eye contact with the audience in spite of a teleprompter ahead of him.

    There are enough reasons why Mr. Putin could become more dangerous to us all. An unpredictable autocrat presiding over a nuclear super power is not exactly a pleasant playmate. An autocrat who is easily the richest man in the world can acquire the mindset of a God figure with the power of life and death over the rest of humanity. An ex- KGB officer with an inscrutable face and shadowy family life may not worry much about the familiar moral qualms of regular mortals about human lives and ultimate tragedy. Worse still, a man with a permanent nostalgia for the defunct great USSR and the days of Cold War sabre rattling can pursue his obsession at the expense of others if events keep pushing him to the brinks of sanity.

    When such a man is encircled, his country isolated, his military rendered ineffectual and his private fortunes threatened, it is uncertain how far he can go in seeking revenge against those he sees as his traducers. Throughout history, the mind of a typical autocratic demagogue has been an area of darkness, full of uncanny possibilities. On hindsight, I shudder to think of what could have become of the world if Hitler had access to the codes of a nuclear weapons system. In the isolated seclusion of his bunker, he ordered some of the most massive military assaults that humanity has known during the Second World War. The body count meant nothing to him.

    But here we are today with Mr. Putin, a real autocrat with a record of serial murders of his opponents. He is in control of the world’s second largest arsenal of lethal and nuclear weapons. How far could he go to hurt the rest of the world just to assuage his injured ego? How far will Putin go just to prove to the world that he is not necessarily weak and will not go down in humiliation? Could Vladimir Putin become further demented by frustration of his territorial ambition in Ukraine and beyond as to do the kind of irrational things that dictators have done in history?

    Russia as an isolated rogue state is not the best prospect in a world dominated by aspiring democracies. Over 85% of the nations of the world are now democracies or aspiring democracies. In that world, an illiberal democracy or fringe autocracy such as Russia is not your favourite next door neighbor. Worse still, a nuclear super power presided over by an unstable dictator with an injured ego and threatened financial fortunes is a nightmare that could blow up in our faces. As we speak, Mr. Putin has placed his most strategic military units including his nuclear command, at alert and in an active disposition. Lethal weapons banned by the Geneva Convention have already been generously used in this war.

    The best way out of this possible nightmare is to show Mr. Putin clearly marked exit points to escape from the consequences of his disastrous judgment. Clearly, he miscalculated his chances in the Ukraine mission. He probably underestimated the extent to which Ukrainians detest and even hate the Russians. You cannot sustain a massive military campaign in a terrain where the occupying force is so despised. Also, Mr. Putin never estimated the groundswell of international opposition that his invasion of Ukraine would attract. More tragically, he probably did not calculate the character of Russia’s post war relations with the European states and former Soviet republics that Russia has to live with in perpetuity.

    Peace is the only antithesis to war. Therefor, every war inevitably ends in peace. The best prosecutors of wars are also the most creative seekers of peace. Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine were at first an encouraging sign. The talks that led to the resumption of exports of Ukrainian wheat to the rest of the world were an encouraging sign. The recent prisoner exchanges between Ukraine and Russia point to what is still possible on the avenue of peace. But Mr. Putin would rather negotiate with Ukraine as a conqueror hence his recently announced new mobilization. It is doubtful if the two parallel lines will meet somewhere in a bombed out Ukraine. Putin would probably find more satisfaction in being a party and also a guarantor of the kind of peace he desires.

    The West can help Mr. Putin find a convenient exit point out of the cage he has built around himself. But the interest of a more enduring world peace is not served by the present attitude and rhetoric of the US and the West. It is a good thing to marshal a global coalition against a menacing adversary of the international rule- based order. It is also in order to contain a belligerent autocrat who tramples on the sovereignty of less powerful nations. It is quite understandable to pile up crushing sanctions to bend such a determined aggressor.

    The object of the war is the protection of the sovereign integrity of independent states from the aggression and deliberate belligerence of more powerful nations. It is of course in the enlightened self -interest of the US and the West to contain Russian influence and Putin’s territorial ambitions. But in the end, the world still needs a powerful stable Russia as a bulwark against the excesses of the West just as much as we need a wealthy Europe and the US to demonstrate the relative advantages of liberal democracy and the power of the free market.

    For those who are desirous or anxious about how this war will end, there are a few certainties. First, Russia can neither crush nor annihilate Ukraine. Second, Russia will not be able to prevail against a coalition of the US, NATO and the rest of the free world. Third, the coalition of pro-Ukrainian forces will not be able to defeat Russia and exclude it from the international system. A humiliated Russia is an unlikely historical oddity.

    There is a new way out. Both China and India have recently shown open reservations about Russia’s war aims. They have hinted at reservations about the continuation of hostilities. Both nations exert tremendous influence with Russia and are respected by the US and the Western alliance. Both of them believe in the inviolability of the sovereignty of nations. A joint peace initiative by China and India with definite guarantees from both sides would be acceptable to the warring parties. A peace process brokered by both and guaranteed by the United Nations is perhaps the best way out of the Ukraine quagmire.

    Beyond the tragic temptations of his injured ego, Vladimir Putin understands the consequences of pursuing this war to conclusion. His political career could become a casualty of this untenable war. The costs are already monumental. They include international isolation, crushing sanctions and Ruussia’s inevitable encirclement by states that are bound to be hostile and perennially suspicious neighbours and at best uneasy allies. No leader, no matter his mindset, can wish his nation such catastrophe.

  • British PM slams Putin after missile hits mall in Ukraine

    British PM slams Putin after missile hits mall in Ukraine

    British Prime Minister Boris Johnson condemned Vladimir Putin’s “cruelty and barbarism” after a missile strike on a shopping centre in Ukraine left scores feared dead.

    The prime minister said the attack, on the day Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky addressed the G7 summit, would strengthen the resolve of allies to resist Putin.

    Zelensky, who had urged G7 leaders to supply missile defence systems, described the toll of the attack on the site in Kremenchuk as “unimaginable”.

    Johnson said: “This appalling attack has shown once again the depths of cruelty and barbarism to which the Russian leader will sink.

    “Once again our thoughts are with the families of innocent victims in Ukraine.

    “Putin must realise that his behaviour will do nothing but strengthen the resolve of the Ukraine and every other G7 country to stand by the Ukraine for as long as it takes.”

    The massacre at the mall followed days of Russian missile strikes on Ukrainian cities, including the capital Kyiv, as Zelensky prepared to address the G7 remotely.

    Johnson is said to have told fellow leaders that it was “stupid of Putin” to attack Kyiv “when all of us are in the same place because it is only going to make us feel more resolute and united”.

    Earlier, the prime minister said the “price of freedom is worth paying” and the UK must be prepared to support Ukraine’s fight against Russia for as long as it takes in spite of the cost.

    The conflict in Ukraine has added to the rising cost of living by exacerbating turbulence in international energy prices and causing food shortages due to supplies of grain being prevented from leaving the country’s ports by Russia’s Black Sea fleet.

    But speaking at the G7 summit in Germany, Johnson said those pressures will start to ease and the long-term economic impact of defending the rules-based system of international conduct will be beneficial to the global economy.

    If Mr Putin is not resisted, it could give the green light to countries such as China to pursue their own goals of territorial expansion, he suggested.

    The UK has so far contributed around #1.5 billion of economic and humanitarian support to Ukraine plus some #1.3 billion of military assistance.

    The prime minister told the BBC at the summit in the Bavarian Alps: “I think that the economic impacts on the UK will start to abate.

    “We’ll find ways around things and some of the cost pressures will start to come down.

    “But just in terms of staying the course, imagine if you didn’t.

    “Imagine if we allowed Putin to get away with the violent acquisition of huge chunks of another country, a sovereign, independent territory.

    “The lessons for that would be absolutely chilling in all of the countries of the former Soviet Union. You can see what’s happening in the Baltic countries already.

    “But the read across would also be felt in east Asia, as well.

    “So, in terms of the economic effects of that, that would mean long-term instability, it would mean anxiety across the world.”

    Comparing the situation to the defeat of Nazi Germany, Johnson declined to put a limit on UK support.

    “The point I would make to people is, I think that sometimes the price of freedom is worth paying.

    “And just remember, it took the democracies, in the middle of the last century, a long time to recognise that they had to resist tyranny and aggression.

    “It took them a long time, it was very expensive.

    “But what it bought in the end, with the defeat of the dictators, particularly of Nazi Germany, it bought decades and decades of stability, a world order that relied on a rules-based international system.

    “And that is worth protecting, that is worth defending, that delivers long-term prosperity.”

    Mr Johnson has been struck by the unity on show at the G7 amid concerns that a protracted conflict could lead to “fatigue” among leaders and populations.

    There had been concerns that France’s Emmanuel Macron – who has repeatedly held talks with Putin and warned that any peace deal must not leave Russia humiliated – had been wavering in support for a lengthy war.

    But Downing Street insisted there is no dispute between the UK and France over the issue, with the two leaders on the same page over Ukraine and their friendly relationship characterised as “Le Bromance” by No 10 aides.

    A new Anglo-French summit is planned to build on the relationship.

    Zelensky is understood to have told G7 leaders not to let the conflict in his country “drag on over winter” – a season where the frozen ground could give Russian armour an advantage.

    He told the leaders: “If Ukraine wins, you all win.”

    And in a sign that he is not willing to back down and accept a peace deal that gives up swathes of Ukraine to Russia, he said: “We will only negotiate from a position of strength.”

    In a joint statement, the G7 said: “We will continue to provide financial, humanitarian, military, and diplomatic support and stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes.

    “As we do so, we commit to demonstrate global responsibility and solidarity through working to address the international impacts of Russia’s aggression, especially on the most vulnerable.”