Tag: War

  • Leave what may be the most devastating war since the start of the century – UN tells Putin

    Leave what may be the most devastating war since the start of the century – UN tells Putin

    UN Secretary-General, António Guterres, has warned Russian President, Vladimir Putin, not to begin what may be the devastating war since the start of the century.

    “In the name of humanity, don’t start what may be the most devastating war since the start of the century,” Guterres appealed to Putin.

    Guterres urged Russian President to bring his troops back to his country and announced 20 million dollars for humanitarian support in Ukraine.

    In his words: “Today, I’m announcing that we will immediately allocate 20 million dollars from the Central Emergency Response Fund to meet urgent needs,” Guterres told journalists in New York on Thursday.”

    According to him, “protecting civilians must be priority number one in supporting the people.”

    Guterres reiterated that the UN and its humanitarian partners are “committed to staying and delivering, to support people in Ukraine in their time of need.”

    The UN Secretary-General pointed out that Russian military operations inside the sovereign territory of Ukraine was “on a scale that Europe has not seen in decades, conflict directly with the United Nations Charter.”

    President Putin had launched military action in Ukraine on Thursday.

    In spite of a sustained UN-led and international diplomatic push to avert military action in Ukraine, President Putin did just that, triggering a barrage of reactions, beginning with the UN chief condemning the move and appealing for peace.

    In the name of humanity, bring your troops back to Russia

    “All Members shall refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state, or in any other manner inconsistent with the purposes of the United Nations,” Guterres said, quoting the Charter.

    The UN chief underscored that the use of force by one country against another is “the repudiation of the principles that every country has committed to uphold,” which he stated applies to the present military offensive.

    “It’s wrong. It’s against the Charter. It’s unacceptable. But it’s not irreversible,” Guterres said.

    As deaths rise and images of fear, anguish and terror in every corner of Ukraine are pervasive, Guterres reminded that “people, every day innocent people, always pay the highest price.”

    “In line with the Charter, it’s not too late to save this generation from the scourge of war,” Guterres said, “we need peace.”

    The top UN official described what happened as the “saddest moment” in his tenure as UN Secretary-General.

    In light of this development, Guterres said: “I must change my address and say: In the name of humanity, bring your troops back to Russia.”

    The Russian President had listed three conditions to put an end to the standoff, advising Kyiv to renounce its bid to join NATO, to partially demilitarize and to recognize Russia’s sovereignty over Crimea, the Black Sea peninsula that Moscow annexed from Ukraine in 2014.

    But, Ukraine rejected Putin’s demands.

  • Biden announces new sanctions on Russia, says Putin ‘chose’ war

    Biden announces new sanctions on Russia, says Putin ‘chose’ war

    U.S. President Joe Biden on Thursday announced new sanctions on Russia after its invasion of Ukraine, saying that Russian leader Vladimir Putin “chose this war” and his country would bear the consequences.

    The sanctions target Russian banks, oligarchs and high-tech sectors, Biden said.

    The United States and its allies will block assets of four large Russian banks, impose export controls and sanction oligarchs.

    Biden had on Tuesday announced first tranche of sanctions on Russia, following its decision to recognise the independence of certain areas of Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk regions.

    The President announced the sanctions at the White House while Ukraine’s government reported mounting casualties inflicted by Russian forces attacking from the east, north and south.

    “The sanctions measures impose severe costs on Russia’s largest financial institutions and will further isolate Russia from the global financial system.

    “With today’s financial sanctions, we have now targeted all ten of Russia’s largest financial institutions, including the imposition of full blocking and correspondent and payable-through account sanctions, and debt and equity restrictions, on institutions holding nearly 80 per cent of Russian banking sector assets.

    “The unprecedented export control measures will cut off more than half of Russia’s high-tech imports, restricting Russia’s access to vital technological inputs, atrophying its industrial base, and undercutting Russia’s strategic ambitions to exert influence on the world stage,’’ he said.

    According to him, the impact of these measures will be significantly magnified due to historical multilateral cooperation with a wide range of Allies and partners who are mirroring our actions, inhibiting Putin’s ambition to diversify Russia’s brittle, one-dimensional economy.

    “The scale of Putin’s aggression and the threat it poses to the international order require a resolute response, and we will continue imposing severe costs if he does not change course.’’

    The U.S. leader said Russia’s economy had already faced intensified pressure in recent weeks, noting that just today its stock market sunk to its lowest level in four and half years.

    With these new stringent measures, he said these pressures would further accumulate and suppress Russia’s economic growth, increase its borrowing costs, raise inflation, intensify capital outflows, and erode its industrial base.

    “The United States and our Allies and partners are unified and will continue to impose costs, forcing Putin to look to other countries that cannot replicate the financial and technology strengths of Western markets.’’

    He said the U.S. would be deploying additional forces to Germany to bolster NATO after the invasion of Ukraine, which is not a member of the defense organisation. Approximately 7,000 additional U.S. troops will be sent.

    Biden said Putin’s threatening actions and now his unprovoked aggression toward Ukraine were being met with an unprecedented level of multilateral cooperation.

    He said the United States welcomed the commitments by Australia, Canada, the European Union, Japan, and the United Kingdom.

    “They would also take similarly forceful actions to hold Russia accountable – demonstrating the strength of our partnerships and deepening the impact on Russia more than any action we could have taken alone.

    “This follows our joint action earlier this week to impose a first tranche of severe sanctions on Russia,’’ he said.

    Biden spoke hours after holding a virtual meeting with the leaders of Britain, Canada, France, Italy and Japan.

    European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, European Council President Charles Michel, and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg also joined the meeting.

    The president also met with his national security team in the White House Situation Room as he looked to flesh out U.S. moves in the rapidly escalating crisis.

  • Why there is insecurity in Nigeria- Obasanjo

    Why there is insecurity in Nigeria- Obasanjo

    Former President Olusegun Obasanjo, has blamed insecurity in the country on access to weapons after the Nigerian civil war and unemployment.

    Speaking virtually on Monday, as Chairman, at the 2022 annual lecture of the Murtala Muhammed Foundation, with the theme, ‘Beyond Boko Haram: Addressing insurgency, banditry and kidnapping across Nigeria,’ he stated that beyond the crisis caused by the controversial Sharia law, unemployment was also contributing to insurgency in the country.

    The former President also said that his fear about Boko Haram had materialised with the group’s links to international terrorists organisations.

    Obasanjo said, “The insecurity in the country was caused by the ease of access to weapons after the civil war, and since then, we have been unable to address the issue; it keeps getting worse.

    “In 2011 when Boko Haram was just showing its ugly head, I went to Maiduguri to try and find out a little bit more about Boko Haram and to also find out what their objective was, apart from being interested in Sharia. They also complained that their followers had no jobs and stated their efforts to get something legitimate to help their members.

    Obasanjo also called on the old generation of Nigerians to give way for the younger generation to build a prosperous nation.

    According to him, rather than compete, the old generation should collaborate with younger people and provide them with the requisite knowledge and experience to transform the country.

    During the event, the guest speaker and Governor of Ekiti State, Dr Kayode Fayemi, suggested a national response to stem the tide of insecurity in Nigeria.

    Also, the Chief Executive Officer, MMF, Aisha Mohammed-Oyebode, said the organisation was committed to improving the socio-economic development of Africa in line with the dreams of her father and late Head of State, General Murtala Mohammed.

    She said the MMF, through its programmes, “has made notable impacts in the lives of people, especially the marginalised, disadvantaged and vulnerable, in addition to contributing to promoting good governance and empowerment in line with its vision and mission.”

    Obasanjo, in a veiled reference to the old generation of politicians jostling for the Presidency in 2023, was responding to the lecture by Fayemi that he was in primary school when the late Murtala Mohammed directed the affairs of the country.

    The former President said, “We need to have an intergenerational collaboration. Fayemi said he was in primary school when Murtala and Obasanjo were there. So, if people of the Murtala/Obasanjo era are competing with you as governor, then, something is wrong.

    “The Murtala/Obasanjo group should be stepping aside. Whatever experience and knowledge we have, we should be able to give it to you and you should be able to give it to those coming after you, so that whatever you have, you are passing it down to those who are coming behind and not to start competing with you, but to make you have access to what will make Nigeria better.”

  • Ukraine crisis: War is not inevitable if preventive diplomacy is on the cards – By Dennis Onakinor

    Ukraine crisis: War is not inevitable if preventive diplomacy is on the cards – By Dennis Onakinor

    By Dennis Onakinor

    Dennis Onakinor undertakes a brief historical insight into the ongoing crisis in Ukraine, and comes out with the verdict that in as much as Russia has unwisely cast itself as the aggressor by its military buildup on its neighbour’s borders, it does have a valid point in its security demands on Ukraine and its NATO ally. While noting that President Putin has tactfully left the door open for a negotiated settlement by refraining from issuing any form of ultimatum to Russia’s adversaries, he calls on all parties to the conflict to work relentlessly towards a diplomatic solution as the option of war is rather unthinkable.

    Conflict and cooperation are part of the dualities of human interaction. This is even more so in international relations, where conflicts are inherent and inevitable. Hence, the imperative for conflict resolution based on mutual satisfaction. Oftentimes, a conflict develops into a crisis when a particular party seeks exclusive advantage, rather than mutual satisfaction, in its resolution. And, failure to de-escalate the crisis in timely manner could occasion armed hostilities or war. The ongoing crisis in Ukraine exemplifies this situation as Russia has reportedly massed an estimated 120,000 to 150,000 heavily-armed troops on its borders in what many perceive as the prelude to an invasion, although President Vladimir Putin and his spokespersons continue to deny such intensions.

    Since October 2021, when the Russian military buildup began, President Volodymyr Zelensky and other Ukrainian leaders have been warning against a potential Russian invasion, with some going the extent of alleging that Russia is plotting a regime-change in the beleaguered country. Thus, backed by the US-led North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and other Western allies, Ukraine has continued to beef up its defensive and offensive war capabilities, in what analysts perceive as a classical example of the “Richardson Process” – a mutually-reinforcing conflict-spiral situation.

    International observers have drawn close parallels between the ongoing crisis in Ukraine and the 1962 Cuban Missile crisis, which saw the US and the Soviet Union on the brink of a catastrophic nuclear war. The only difference, they say, is that unlike the nuclear-armed adversaries in the Cuban crisis, Ukraine is not so armed like Russia. Otherwise, the situation of mutually-assured destruction (MAD) would have restrained Russia from its aggressive behaviour towards her militarily-inferior neighbour. North Korea’s Kim Jung Un and his nuclear blackmail of the international community better illustrates the Ukrainian security dilemma.

    In any case, the war rhetoric emanating from both sides of the Ukraine crisis, especially between the US and Russia is, to say the least, frightening. At a press conference on January 12, 2022, NATO’s Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg warned that “We will provide support to Ukraine to enable them to strengthen their ability to defend themselves,” adding that “Russia would pay a heavy price” if it invades. A week later, US’ President Joseph Biden vowed that Putin would pay a “serious and dear price if he steps into Ukraine,” while threatening the Russian leader with sanctions “like none he’s ever seen,” which would most likely include a disconnection of Russia from the international SWIFT payment system and personal sanctions.

    On his part, President Putin has issued a stark warning that NATO’s expansion into Ukraine and the deployment of any long-range missiles capable of threatening Russian cities would amount to crossing a “red line.” A spokesman also threatened that Russia would shut off gas supplies to Europe should the country be disconnected from the global SWIFT payment system as Russia presently supplies nearly a third of the European Union’s oil and gas consumption.

    While Ukraine’s President Zelensky rightly seeks to downplay the Russian invasion threat by insisting that it is not imminent, his Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba has been telling whoever cares to listen that Ukraine would not stand for any attempt by its Western allies to placate Russia on its behalf, and ruling out any Ukrainian concessions to the “aggressor.” Analysts are of the view that the Foreign Minister is just blustering.

    In any armed confrontation with Russia – the world’s second mightiest military power, Ukraine stands no chance of victory. As a matter of fact, since 2014, it has been at the receiving end of the civil war in its Eastern region of Donbas (Donetsk Basin), where pro-Russian separatist groups have declared the breakaway “Donetsk People’s Republic” and “Luhansk People’s Republic” with Russian military backing.

    Presently, Ukraine is not a member of NATO, but an aspirant. Hence, the alliance is not likely to commit combat troops to its defence in case of a Russian invasion. President Biden said that much on January 25, 2022: “There is not going to be any American forces moving into Ukraine.” Instead, the US has decided to strengthen its military presence in NATO countries to deter any related Russian aggression. The Pentagon has since announced the deployment of 8,500 troops in that aspect.

    Like the US, several NATO members have committed to bolstering Ukraine’s war capabilities with advanced conventional weapons, including fighters, bombers, warships, and missile systems. But, since their combat troops will not be fighting alongside Ukrainian forces in the event of a Russian invasion, the country must come to terms with the fact that there is an extent to which advanced weapons can influence the outcome of a war amidst personnel inadequacy. The collapse of US-equipped Afghan forces before the rag-tag Taliban army is a vivid example here.

    More so, Ukraine must realize that sanctions, which will be imposed on Russia in a post-invasion period, will not resurrect the war-dead nor heal the wounded that would, ineluctably, comprise children, women, the physical challenged and infirm – the unfortunate bearers of the brunt of war. Therefore, it must understand that its interest lies in preventive diplomacy, and not war. And, in this wise, it must work closely with NATO in its response to Russian demands in the spirit of cooperation and mutual benefit.

    The crux of Russia’s demands is that NATO should provide “reliable, legal guarantees” stating that Ukraine would not join the alliance, which should also halt its eastward expansion towards Russian territorial borders. Otherwise, it “will be forced to take every necessary action to ensure a strategic balance and to eliminate unacceptable threats to our security.” In other words, Russia wants to see a non-aligned Ukraine, a reduction of NATO forces based in Eastern Europe, and the removal of offensive missiles from neighbouring countries like Poland and Romania.

    Unequivocally, NATO has rejected these demands, considering them as Russia’s attempt to meddle in its affairs. The alliance’s Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stated that “No one else has the right to try to veto or interfere in that process,” noting that “It’s about the right for every nation to choose their own path.” But, while its rejection of the demands was widely expected, some people are also of the view that Russia’s security concerns are genuine.

    In diplomatic circles, it is acknowledged that as the Soviet Union was fast-disintegrating in 1991, President George Bush promised his Soviet counterpart, Mikhail Gorbachev, that former members of the Warsaw Pact alliance, comprising mainly East European communist countries, would not be absorbed into NATO. In other words, NATO would not expand eastward towards the borders of Russia – the Soviet legacy state. NATO has since reneged on that promise as former Warsaw Pact members, including Poland, Hungary, and Czechoslovakia, are now part of the military alliance, to which Ukraine is also seeking membership.

    President Putin alluded to this development during his Annual News Conference on December 23, 2021: “We remember, as I have mentioned many times before and as you know very well, how you promised us in the 1990s that NATO would not move an inch to the East. You cheated us shamelessly: there have been five waves of NATO expansion, and now the weapons systems I mentioned have been deployed in Romania and deployment has recently begun in Poland. This is what we are talking about, can you not see? … It is you who have come to our border, and now you say that Ukraine will become a member of NATO as well. Or, even if it does not join NATO, that military bases and strike systems will be placed on its territory under bilateral agreements. This is the point.”

    No doubt, Russia has inadvertently cast itself as the aggressor in the ongoing crisis by its militarization of its borders with Ukraine, but it does have a valid point in its demand for security guarantees from NATO, as explained by Putin during the aforesaid news conference: “We have made it clear that any further movement of NATO to the East is unacceptable … Are we deploying missiles near the US border? No, we are not. It is the United States that has come to our home with its missiles and is already standing at our doorstep. Is it going too far to demand that no strike systems be placed near our home? … What would the Americans say if we stationed our missiles on the border between Canada and the United States, or between Mexico and the United States?”

    Questionable as its massive military presence on Ukraine’s borders may be, it is doubtful that Russia really intends invading its neighbour – with all the consequences. Perhaps, Putin simply wants NATO to pay attention to Russia’s concerns that have been ignored for too long. “It is you who must give us guarantees, and you must do it immediately, right now, instead of talking about it for decades and doing what you want,” warned Putin at the said news conference.

    So far, and for all his bellicosity, Putin has tactfully refrained from issuing any form of ultimatum to either NATO or Ukraine, thus enabling the environment for a negotiated solution to the crisis, even as both sides continue playing to the gallery by issuing threats and counter-threats. As one commentator rightly said, “Russia’s security objectives will not be realized by invading Ukraine, since it would still come down to a negotiated settlement after much death and destruction. So, why resort to a costly war in the first instance instead of diplomacy that is far less expensive?”

    There is no gainsaying the fact that a host of international political actors are actively beating the drums of war and baying for blood. Amongst them are the hyper-partisan opponents of the Biden administration. Backed by the US’ conservative media establishment led by Fox News, they are deploying all manner of subterfuge and outright falsehood in their bid to goad the president into a direct confrontation with Putin, whom they say, has outwitted him. Asked what Biden should have done differently, they mumble unintelligible responses.

    Also drumming loudly for war is the global media, especially the US-based international news organizations. Their coverage of the crisis leaves no one in doubt about the inevitability of war. Daily reportage of a looming Ukrainian Armageddon has prompted President Zelensky to admonish his fellow world’s statesmen and the media against related sensationalism. Some people say the media is echoing the silent wishes of the global military-industrial complex spearheaded by American arms manufacturers, who are salivating over the prospects of an international war where their latest technologically-advanced weapons would be showcased.

    On a retrospective note, the Ukraine crisis has its genesis in events dating back to 2014, when a wave of popular street protests swept pro-Russian President Viktor Yanukovych out of power in February, in what has become known as the “Euromaidan Revolution.” Angered by the development, Putin annexed the South-Eastern city of Crimea and its strategic naval-base of Sevastopol in March. He also militarily backed the self-proclaimed “Donetsk People’s Republic” and the “Luhansk People’s Republic” in the Donbas region. The ensuing war between the separatists and the Ukrainian government has so far claimed more than 14,000 lives, while defying all efforts towards a negotiated settlement, including the Minsk Agreements of September 2014 and February 2015. Related tensions have now boiled over into the on-going wider crisis.

    In course of explaining Russia’s decision to annex Crimea on March 18, 2014, Putin had this to say: “They have lied to us many times …This happened with NATO’s expansion to the East, as well as the deployment of military infrastructure at our borders … Let me note too that we have already heard declarations from Kiev about Ukraine soon joining NATO. What would this have meant for Crimea and Sevastopol in the future? It would have meant that NATO’s navy would be right there in this city of Russia’s military glory … But let me say too that we are not opposed to cooperation with NATO … we are against having a military alliance making itself at home right in our backyard or in our historic territory.”

    This extract is re-echoed in Putin’s security demands of December 2021. Maybe the time has come for a comprehensive diplomatic solution to the Russo-Ukraine crisis in its entirety.

     

    Dennis Onakinor, a global affairs analyst, writes from Lagos – Nigeria. He can be reached via e-mail at dennisonakinor@yahoo.com

  • Nigeria technically at war; borrowings essential to combat insecurity – FG

    Nigeria technically at war; borrowings essential to combat insecurity – FG

    The Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Zainab Ahmed has again defended recent borrowings by the Federal Government, insisting they were instrumental to the country’s exit from recessions.

    She said this on Friday during the Public Presentation and Breakdown of the 2022 Appropriation Bill.

    “Having witnessed two consecutive recessions, we have had to spend our way out of the recession which contributed significantly to the growth of our public debts,” the minister stated in Abuja, one day after President Muhammadu Buhari presented the Appropriation Bill to the National Assembly.

    “It is unlikely that our recovery from these recessions would have been as fast without the sustained government expenditure funded partly by debt.”

    Before now, the minister had said Nigeria will fund its 2022 budget deficit, pegged at N6.258 trillion, through fresh borrowings.

    The move was greeted with controversy across the country. Critics and members of the opposition said the development, as well as other borrowings by the Federal Government, call for concern.

    “Our party holds it as an act of wickedness that individuals who know that they will be leaving office in less than two years will be accumulating debts instead of seeking ways to reduce the liability they have brought upon our nation,” the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) said following Buhari’s request for approval to borrow $4 billion and €710 million to fund the deficit in the 2021 budget.

    But the minister has explained that borrowings have helped the government in providing infrastructure to boost the economy.

    “Borrowings are essential to enable us to deploy necessary capital expenditure and invest in human capital development,” she maintained.

    According to her, with the country’s rising levels of insecurity, the government had to resort to borrowing.

    “To compound matters, the country has technically been at war, with the pervasive security challenges across the nation,” the minister added.

    “This has necessitated massive expenditures on security equipment and operations, contributing to the fiscal deficit; Defence and Security sector accounts for 22% of the 2022 budget!”

    She further allayed fears over Nigeria’s debts, insisting the “debt level of the Federal Government is still within sustainable limits”.

  • Terrorism war, tax evasion claim N11.4trn –EFCC boss

    Terrorism war, tax evasion claim N11.4trn –EFCC boss

    The Federal Government has reportedly spent N6tn on the terrorism war since 2008, while about N5.4tn was lost to tax evasion by multi-national corporations functioning in the country between 2011 and 2021.

    This is aside the stealing of resources in the nation’s oil and gas sector.

    The Chairman of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, Abdulrasheed Bawa, revealed this on Friday, while presenting a paper titled, ‘Combating Crime, Corruption and implication for Development and Security,’ at the 38th Cambridge International Symposium on Economic Crime, organised by the Centre for International Documentation on Organised and Economic Crime, Jesus College, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.

    According to the EFCC boss represented by his Deputy Chief of Staff, Sambo Mayana, between March when he took office and now, the anti-graft agency has recovered over N6bn from financial and economic saboteurs.

    This was contained in a statement by the EFCC spokesman, Wilson Uwujaren, titled, ‘In UK, Bawa calls on world leaders to rise to the challenge of fighting corruption.’

    Quoting a report by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, he noted that resources that could support a country’s development are lost through criminal acts such as corruption, tax evasion, money laundering, and others.

    Bawa noted, “The spoiler effects on countries’ development processes are diverse, and particularly severe for fragile states: economic crime, including illicit financial flows, diverts much needed resources needed to rebuild countries’ public services, from security and justice to basic social services such as health and education.”

    According to him, records show that as at August 2021, the EFCC had recorded over 3,408 convictions.

    “From the time I took over as the Executive Chairman, on the 5th of March 2021, we have recovered over N6bn; over $161m; over £13,000; €1,730, 200 Canadian dollars; CFA 373,000; ¥8,430 and 30 real estates.

    “We have arrested over 1,500 Internet fraudsters, many of whom are being prosecuted,” he added.

    The EFCC chair said the absence of substantial improvement in the living condition of the people in Africa and other developing countries despite their natural resources endowment was due to pervasive economic crimes in those countries.

    He said, “The incidence of illegal mining, smuggling of goods, tax evasion, illegal oil bunkering, illegal arms deals to mention a few does not allow the government to receive the full accruals from the continent’s vast resources that are needed for development.

    “The revenue generated are embezzled by government officials and their collaborators in the private sector. This does not allow for economic growth and by extension a hindrance to development.”

     

  • Nigerians, Be Afraid of the Hell Called War – Dennis Onakinor

    Nigerians, Be Afraid of the Hell Called War – Dennis Onakinor

    Politics is widely viewed as the acquisition, consolidation, and use of state power, hence relatedly, Carl von Clausewitz, a 19th Century military general of the Prussian Empire (later-day Germany), theorized that “War is a continuation of politics by other means.” His idealization of war was apparently due to the fact that during the period of 1792 and 1831 when he served and died in active service, war was generally brief and casualties were light, hence it was a tolerable and even acceptable means of resolving disputes. War, at his time, was largely fought by infantry and cavalry soldiers armed mainly with muzzle-loading riffles. It was a time when humanity had not yet attained the levels of scientific and technological advancements that occasioned the invention of deadly precision weaponry. Nevertheless, one man who would rather not agree with Clausewitz’s trivialization of the dangerous phenomenon of war was General William Tecumseh Sherman, a hero of the American civil war, and the originator of the popular aphorism, “war is hell.”

    An apostle of the concept of “Total War,” General Sherman is reputed for his harsh tactics during the American civil war of 1861 – 1865. In 1864, as the war dragged on endlessly with neither the Union army nor the secessionist Confederate forces able to deliver the death blow, Sherman, a Union army commander, decided to put his “Total War” strategy into practice. In an unprecedented scotched-earth military campaign, he marched his troops into the Confederate’s stronghold of Atlanta – Georgia, destroying everything on his path. Historians have likened his Georgian campaign tactics to the war doctrine of “Shock and Awe” adopted by the United States during its 1993 blistering invasion of Iraq. Suffice to say that the Confederate forces, faced with annihilation, surrendered. And that was the beginning of the end of the civil war.

    But, in the aftermath of the war, and amidst national acclaim for his heroism, a remorseful General Sherman admonished against war and its attendant triumphalism in a personal letter written in May 1865: “I confess, without shame, I am sick and tired of fighting – its glory is all moonshine; even success the most brilliant is over dead and mangled bodies, with the anguish and lamentations of distant families … it is only those who have never heard a shot, never heard the shriek and groans of the wounded and lacerated … that cry aloud for more blood, more vengeance, more desolation.”

    If Americans perceived General Sherman’s post-war pacifist admonition as a fleeting atonement for his cruelty during the civil war, they were in for disappointment as he continued his anti-war advocacy, unflinchingly. In 1879, sixteen years after the civil war, and in his capacity as the head of the US’ Army, he addressed the graduating students of the Michigan Military Academy, thus: “I have been where you are now and I know just how you feel. It’s entirely natural that there should beat in the breast of every one of you a hope and desire that someday you can use the skill you have acquired here. Suppress it! You don’t know the horrible aspects of war. I’ve been through two wars and I know. I’ve seen cities and homes in ashes. I’ve seen thousands of men lying on the ground, their dead faces looking up at the skies. I tell you, war is hell!”

    Doubtless, General Sherman’s unabashed denunciation of war is profound, especially in light of the swaggering macho-masculinity and bravado characteristic of modern world’s military generals and war heroes. For, hardly can one find a present-day war general who would rather sing a pacifist tune than bask in the euphoria of hard-earned victory and heroism. Also, few generals (if any) would candidly advise their protégés against a legitimate desire to put into practice the military skills they had diligently acquired. It is within this context that we can properly delineate the brinkmanship and bellicosity being exhibited by Nigerian ethnic demagogues and other centrifugal forces, who are riding a wave of virulent ethnocentrism while fanning the embers of civil war.

    Conflict, it is generally agreed, is an inherent and recurrent phenomenon in every group or entity. In a national entity, conflicts arise from competition for scarce resources amongst the constituent socio-cultural groups. It may also stem from the pursuit of mutually incompatible values and purposes. More often than not, competing parties resolve their differences amicably, but when they choose to resolve them to their exclusive rather than mutual satisfaction, the competition then assumes the character of a conflict, which may escalate into a crisis, and eventually into a war. A war is the organized conduct of major armed hostilities between social groups within a state (civil war) and between states (international war). Thus, the unity and stability of any state will endure as long as it is able to mediate conflicts arising from competition amongst its constituent socio-cultural groups.

    Largely due to Nigeria’s declining socioeconomic fortunes occasioned by dwindling crude oil revenues; and apparently due to the global rise of ethno-nationalism occasioned by mutually-reinforcing social media messaging; demagogues, chauvinists, and charlatans from various ethnic groups in the country are agitating for the breakup of the country along ethno-linguistic lines, unmindful of the fact that the ethnically heterogeneous entity comprises more than 300 such groups, even though it is dominated by three major ones: the Hausa-Fulani in the North; the Yoruba in the South West; and the Igbo in the South East.

    Also, buoyed by the Internet’s anonymity factor and related social media populism, the country’s centrifugal forces are inundating the populace with ill-conceived separatist messages about the need to split the country, although they have consistently failed to answer the critical question: Into how many parts should it be split? But, with the cacophony of their ignorance-laden messages assuming a deafening din, there arises the urgent need to deter them from dragging the country into an avoidable civil war, especially with the Igbo-based Independent People of Biafra (IPOB) threatening to declare war in order to actualize its separatist objective.

    Recall that between July 1967 and January 1970, the Igbo secessionist Republic of Biafra fought a civil war against the Federal Republic of Nigeria, and lost. The casus belli for that war was the ethnic schism between the Hausa-Fulani and the Igbo, sparked off by the military coup of January 1966 led by some Igbo junior army officers, and the counter-coup of July 1996 led by senior officers of Hausa-Fulani origins. The civil war claimed an estimated 3 million lives, with most of them perishing from hunger, starvation, and disease.

    Were Nigeria’s separatist elements well-acquainted with General Sherman’s “war is hell” aphorism, they would not lightly entertain the use of war to achieve their objective. And were they honest with themselves, they would readily admit that the consequences of the last civil war of about five decades ago are still being felt in the country, especially in Eastern Nigeria that constituted the war theatre. As a matter of fact, memories of the war’s casualties are still lingering in the minds of surviving relatives and associates.

    Other than its casualties, it is also worth remembering that the Nigerian civil war was largely devoid of Cold War politics, hence it was not protracted by the intervention of each super power on either side. For purposes of clarification, the 2nd World War had ushered in the Cold War era during which the two super powers, the US and the Soviet Union, deployed conventional weapons of awesome devastating effects in the proxy wars they fought in Third World countries. For instance, in the Vietnam War of 1955 – 1975, the US’ B-52 Stratofortress, with each payload of about 100 huge bombs, symbolized all that was bad and ugly about the war as waves of the deafeningly-noisy jet-bombers rained bombs on the Soviet-backed North Vietnamese Army positions unceasingly. But, it was its deployment of Napalm (a petroleum-based anti-personnel bomb spraying multiple pellets of explosives upon detonation) that drew international outcry. A haunting image on the Internet showing a badly burnt nude Vietnamese infant girl symbolizes the horrors of its deployment. A conservative estimate of 3.8 million Vietnamese perished from the war, with many more wounded, while the entire country was left in ruins. 57,000 American lives were lost, with thousands missing in action.

    Unfortunately, the end of the Cold War has given vent to the global forces of nationalism, ethnicity, clannishness, etc. In Nigeria, ethnic demagogues and separatists are baying for blood, raising fears amongst well-meaning citizens that an unforeseen incident may trigger a conflagration or civil war, in a manner akin to the Rwanda crisis that culminated in the 1994 genocide.

    It would be recalled that on April 6, 1994, an aircraft conveying Rwanda’s President Juvenal Habyarimana and his Burundian counterpart, Cyprien Ntaryamira (both ethnic Hutus) crashed in Kigali – Rwanda. The majority ethnic Hutus conveniently blamed the crash on the minority Tutsi and its affiliated Rwanda Patriotic Front (RPF) rebel group, and descended on them in a vengeful wave of genocidal violence. By the time the bloodletting subsided in July 1994 (thanks to a counter-offensive by the RPF led by Paul Kagame), an estimated 1.5 million people had met with gruesome death – most of them Tutsis. Hundreds of thousands of children were orphaned. About half a million women suffered untold horrors of sexual violence. More than 2 million persons (most of them Hutus) ended up in refugee camps in the neighbouring countries of Uganda, Tanzania, and especially in Congo Democratic Republic (Zaire), where their presence precipitated an international armed conflict that resulted in the downfall of sit-tight dictator Mobutu Sese Seko in 1997, and also sparked off an armed conflict across East and Central Africa.

    Against this background, Nigeria’s war-mongering ethnic demagogues and separatists would do well to understand that war is an unpredictable phenomenon fraught with uncertainties. Its vicissitudes are such that a likely winner could easily turn a loser, vice versa. Writing in this vein in his “Canterbury Tales,” the famous 14th Century English Poet, Geoffrey Chaucer, admonished: “Many a man cries war, war! who knows very little what war amounts to. War at its beginning has so great, so large an entrance that anyone may enter when he likes and find war easily; the end, though, is certainly not easy to know. For truly once war has begun, many a child yet unborn shall die young because of that war, or in sorrow live and in wretchedness die. Before they start a war men must therefore have great counsel and deliberation.”

    The profundity of Chaucer’s admonition in contemporary world’s society is attested to by, among others, the following images that have emanated from Africa’s bloody conflicts:

    A bloodied, terrified, and screaming Liberian President Samuel Doe begging for elusive mercy as he was being butchered limb-by-limb by rebel forces on September 9, 1990.

    Thousands of limbless children, women, and men who miraculously survived the atrocities perpetrated by rebel child-soldiers of the Liberian and Sierra Leonean civil wars of 1989 – 2003, and 1991 – 2002, respectively.

    A handcuffed, weeping, and bare-bodied Ivorian President Laurent Gbagbo being led away from his devastated presidential palace as a prisoner of war by rebel forces on April 11, 2011.

    A fatally wounded Colonel Muammar Gaddafi of Libya needlessly begging for mercy in course of his being dragged out of a drainage pipe by the rebel forces that terminated his 42-year dictatorship on October 20, 2011.

    Citizens of the nascent Republic of South Sudan fleeing to Sudan (North) as refugees in order to escape the fratricidal civil war that had engulfed their country in 2013 barely two years after Independence from the same North in 2011 – the culmination of a 55-year violent struggle.

    Ethiopian government forces backed by Eritrean troops using rape, torture, hunger, etc. as weapons in their ongoing bloody campaign against Tigray Defence Force rebels.

    Indeed, war entails the perpetration of untold atrocities by belligerents, irrespective of the attempt by the Geneva Convention of 1949 to humanize its conduct. It is well known that the vulnerable segments of the population, such as children, women, the elderly, and the sick, are often not often spared the horrors of war. Also, despicable elements usually hide under the cloak of war to perpetrate heinous atrocities like rape and sadistic or psychopathic killings. In light of these and other unmentioned, Nigeria’s war-mongering ethno-nationalist separatists and other centrifugal forces need be reminded that no matter how war and its associated death, destruction, and misery may have been trivialized by cinema and television action-packed movies, war remains what it is: an aberration symbolizing the descent of man into the abyss of hate, abasement, and bestiality. Therefore, preventing its outbreak at all cost should be uppermost in the mind of all parties to a conflict.

  • Nigeria witnessing bloodshed usually associated with war -Gbajabiamila

    The Speaker of the House of Representatives, Femi Gbajabiamila, has said the rising security crises across Nigeria can be likened to war, saying it appears like the country is living on borrowed time.

    Gbajabiamila stated that the recent Special Summit on National Security organised by the House would address some of the issues, especially relating to the clashes and rivalry between security agencies.

    The Speaker said this in his opening address as the House resumed plenary on Tuesday.

    He said, “Over the last couple of weeks, across our country, there has been a marked increase in the incidents and severity of violent outbreaks, kidnapping, banditry, and murder in broad daylight. From Owerri in Imo State to Igangan in Oyo State; from Niger to Kaduna and across the states of the North-East, we are witnessing bloodshed and violence of the sort usually associated with war.

    “These are trying times for all (of) our nation’s people. Families are in mourning; communities are under siege and even those who have thus far escaped the direct impact of the escalating violence cannot help but feel as if they are living on borrowed time. We are reminded of the urgent need for coordinated and targeted action by governments at all levels to address this menace and save our nation.

    “Two weeks ago, the House of Representatives hosted a Special Summit on National Security to harness the views of citizens and stakeholders, experts from within and outside, to define a new strategy for combating the different manifestations of insecurity in our country. The contributions we received from across the country and the recommendations made therein have already begun to inform legislative action in the House of Representatives.”

     

     

  • Fighting a Losing War with Twitter – Dakuku Peterside

    Fighting a Losing War with Twitter – Dakuku Peterside

    By Dakuku Peterside

    It began with a tweet on June 1, 2021, from President Muhammadu Buhari’s Twitter handle @MBuhari. He reprimanded angry youths “misbehaving” and alluded to his role in the civil war promising to treat secessionists “in the language they understand”. This tweet was followed by public outcry and condemnation because many considered it repulsive, and some deem it a call for genocide. As a result, Twitter pulled down the specific tweet and video, and the FG banned Twitter in Nigeria indefinitely and called for other social media restrictions. Like other actions of any leader, the ban has been received with mixed reactions.

    It is understandable while the President should be irritated with the country’s security situation, especially regarding the South-Eastern part of the country. Since the turn of the year, attacks by “unknown gunmen” have led to the death of scores of policemen, army personnel as well as other security agents. In addition, many public institutions, especially police stations and offices of the Independent National Electoral Commission, have been razed by the hoodlums in the southeast.

    The Nigerian Police has linked the attacks to the Indigenous Peoples of Biafra (IPOB), a secessionist group that seeks to restore the defunct State of Biafra. The group, led by Nnamdi Kanu, is believed by security agencies to have embarked on an arms struggle.

    On social media, Nigerians trended the #IAmIgboToo hashtag to express their displeasure over the President’s statement. In addition, Nigerian Twitter users from different ethnic groups also adopted Igbo names to show their solidarity with the Igbo people.

    What followed was the removal of the tweet by Twitter. Twitter policy on hateful conduct prohibits tweets that “promote violence or threaten” people based on “race, ethnicity, national origin.” So, the tech company deletes such tweets, or Twitter compels users to “remove the violating content.”

    Though some may believe that Twitter removed the tweets as it felt it violated its policy, I must point out that it has not always been neutral in dealing with Nigeria. For example, during the #EndSARS protests of last year, Twitter allegedly encouraged the protest by a nauseous promotion of the #EndSARS hashtag and advised the protesters on alternative ways of raising funds through cryptocurrencies to bypass the clampdown on accounts funding the protests by the Nigerian Central Bank.

    Reacting to these seeming contradictions and lack of neutrality, the Minister of Information, Lai Muhammed, complained that Twitter condones worse tweets from IPOB leader Nnamdi Kanu. This comparison demeans the Nigerian President’s office. How can he compare tweets from the President with that of a secessionist leader known for uncouth language, acerbic words, and temper tantrums?

    The announcement that the FG has banned Twitter indefinitely took many Nigerians by surprise, and it seems in many quarters that it is not a well thought out response, and the federal government may have taken on a battle it can never win. The reasons for this view are manifold.

    The first reason is that the speed and context of the Twitter ban by FG smirk of hasty and jerky reaction and retaliatory action against an organisation upholding the dictates of its policies. The reasons proffered by the FG at best are conjectural and unrelated to the issues at hand. Misinformation and spread of fake news which may have affected national security as claimed by Some of the president’s handlers would not fly as the reason for the ban if the ban came only a few days after Twitter pulled down the President’s tweet. People are wise to uncover the hidden reason, and many felt it was not the whole truth and is disingenuous of the FG to pull such a stunt.

    The second reason is that people are suspicious of any fight against the media, which often they interpret as an attempt to muffle their freedom of speech and expression in a country practising constitutional democracy. On the contrary, Twitter and platforms like it create a public sphere for expressing divergent views by all. It is a marketplace for ideas and counter ideas, often competing for relevance and acceptance. Everyone with a smartphone and mobile data could air his views on local, national, and international issues, mobilise and fight for a course, and assess and learn about current events. Therefore, a complete ban on Twitter may be seen by many as an affront to their fundamental liberty.

    The ban immediately brought to peoples’ mind the draconian decree 4 of 1984 that curtailed freedom of speech for journalists and public commentators. This decree promulgated during the military regime of Gen. Mohammadu Buhari, and any assault on the media forces people to reminisce on those days.

    The third reason is that the FG cannot afford to engage in a war with international media, especially at this auspicious time. Insecurity, banditry, poor economy, and secessionist agitations have negatively affected Nigeria’s image locally and internationally. We need international media as our friends rather than foes. Banning Twitter sends a wrong signal that FG is applying undue high-handedness in dealing with domestic issues. Opposition and non-state actors will milk this to prove that the FG is persecuting them for contrary views, and the FG is anti-people. Other international media (social and traditional) may likely come together to portray the FG in a bad light internationally. We should avoid this at all costs, especially given our current impasse. We cannot multiply the war front.

    Fourthly, President Buhari is not the first president to have a face-off with Twitter. Donald Trump, the former US President, was utterly banned from Twitter and other social media for almost two years. As Twitter has become powerful, so have the users become vulnerable to the dictates of the owners and managers. Jack Dorsey, the CEO of Twitter and Mark Zuckerberg, Facebook founder, have become two of the most powerful men in the world. So, when Twitter decided to suspend the account of Donald Trump after the January 6, 2021 insurrection whereby his supporters stormed the US Capitol, it caused severe reverberations. It meant that a private company could clip the wings of a sitting US President, widely regarded as the most powerful man in the world.

    The fifth reason is that Nigeria does not want to be among countries that banned Twitter and other social media. China, Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Turkmenistan, Nigeria. These countries are the list of countries where Twitter is banned. How can Nigeria be listed with other widely accepted countries that stifle free speech, discourage dissent, and abuse human rights? These countries do not have democratic values and profile ,and are not countries Nigeria should be proud to be linked together.

    The sixth reason is that social media is an outlet for people, especially young people, to express themselves and vent their anger. Imagine the amount of frustration young people will go through when they get cut off from the global social world they link with through social media. Any parent of young people can testify to how attached young ones are to their social media, and most of the information they get is from social media. Young people inhabit this virtual reality bubble created by social media to the extent that some are addicted to it and may struggle to clearly distinguish between digital reality and social reality. Young people may rebel against any ban on social media.

    Moreover, I am not sure that we have the technical capacity to shut down social media over the internet. How can we make laws or rules that we cannot enforce? Even if we can implement this ban, why waste resources that should solve a panoply of other pressing needs confronting Nigeria?

    FG seems to be acting desperately and, therefore, may be making more mistakes. Remember that Mubarak and Ghadaffi tried to ban social media during the Arab spring but failed. Banning media is an antiquated technique and adopts a standard military approach which cannot work in a democracy.

    I think the President’s tweet should not have been posted in the first instance by his Twitter handlers. His media handlers should have seen to that. The President’s handlers should have ensured that his anger and frustrations over the breakdown of law and order in the country and the acute security challenges that threaten to dismember the country are not in the public dormain. There is a measure of diplomacy expected in the President’s public statements. Governments worldwide spend millions of dollars on Public Relations consultants whose primary duty is to give the government an acceptable image to the public.

    However, after posting the tweet and the backlash ensued, which culminated in the removal of the tweet by Twitter, the government should have learnt her lessons and ensured that any tweet coming from the President’s handle goes through greater scrutiny. Maybe they should have interrogated the President’s social media management team. Instead, suspending Twitter in the country adds more fuel to the fire and depicts the government as dictatorial.

    There was some rumpus when Twitter announced setting up her African office in Ghana some months ago. However, many people had expected them to set up shop in Nigeria as the country offers more significant opportunities than Ghana. With this development, the decision of Twitter to snub Nigeria would be seen as a wise move as they would have been more susceptible to government sanction if their offices were in Nigeria.

    Social media has become an essential tool in the everyday lives of many Nigerians. It is a symbol of free speech and a vital ingredient for democratic rule and governance. The issue of regulation of social media is a matter for another day . The current administration is a beneficiary of social media as it used it extensively in the arduous battle to unseat the People’s Democratic Party (PDP)-led government in 2015.

    This ban has economic consequences and may damage Nigeria profoundly by creating loss of jobs for our teeming youths in the digital marketing sector, rob off negatively on Nigeria’s image abroad, negatively batter foreign investors’ confidence in Nigeria, dampen our democratic antecedents, widen the communication gap between the FG and the people, and may lead to international embarrassment and hostile public diplomacy.

    In summary, by banning Twitter, we will be hurting our economy more and the federal government risks sending the message that we are back to the old days of military dictatorship, during which the free press was usually the first target. Moreover, it risks undermining the assertion by the President’s supporters that he has fully transformed from a military man to a democrat, that the current administration is different from the time the President took power as a soldier via a coup d’état in 1984. There are many ways the government can address the unfortunate removal of the President’s tweet or even our security challenges But, unfortunately, banning Twitter in the country is not one of them.

     

  • We are not mobilising corps members for war – NYSC

    We are not mobilising corps members for war – NYSC

    The National Youth Service Corps, NYSC, has denounced reports quoting the Director-General of the corps, Brig.Gen Shuaibu Ibrahim, as saying that youth corps members could be mobilised for war.

    Ibrahim was quoted as saying on Thursday in an interview on Channels that corps members were part of the national defence policy of Nigeria and could be mobilised for war if need be.

    The NYSC boss was quoted as saying that, “Corps members are on reserve. They are part of the national defence policy of this country. So, where there is serious war, our corps members are educated, they are knowledgeable and they can be trained. You see the drill and so on.

    “You can imagine within the short three weeks in the orientation camps, the corps members are moulded. They are like soldiers. You see female corps members blowing the army horn, playing with the military band.

    “So, if not for the knowledge, where are you going to mobilise such young Nigerians to train them quickly to put in their best for the country? So, corps members are on reserve. They are also part of the national defence policy.”

    But in a sharp reaction late Thursday night, NYSC said “This is to clarify the misrepresentation of the NYSC Director-General’s recent interview with the media currently trending on the social media.

    “The Director-General had stated that in line with the National Defence Policy, Corps Members are like soldiers on reserve, because their education, exposure and sophistication, can make them easily adaptable to military training.

    “He charged them to remain focused and patriotic; and for the spirit of NYSC to live in all Nigerians.

    “General Ibrahim never at any point said that Corps Members are being mobilised to fight war.

    “The Scheme shall continue to safeguard the interest of Corps Members at all times,”